DOTUSD Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 31 trades in period
-2.23%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,759.20
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$10,947.63
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality
13.7/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 11.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,296
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
182 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,947.63
Current Value
$10,759.20
Period P&L
$-243.70
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
12 /
19
Best Trade
+5.66%
Worst Trade
-5.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$704,848.46
Estimated Fees
$1,762.12
Gross P&L
$-243.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,005.82
Gross Return
-2.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.32%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 182 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,947.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $2.63 | 4,112 | $10,798.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:35am ET | $2.59 | 4,112 | $10,637.74 | $10,639.23 |
$-160.37 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET | $2.84 | 3,742 | $10,638.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 11:15am ET | $2.93 | 3,742 | $10,954.71 | $10,955.43 |
+$316.20 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $3.26 | 3,360 | $10,952.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $3.19 | 3,360 | $10,731.84 | $10,734.68 |
$-220.75 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:05am ET | $2.77 | 3,880 | $10,734.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $2.72 | 3,880 | $10,553.60 | $10,553.87 |
$-180.81 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET | $2.73 | 3,863 | $10,553.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:20am ET | $2.69 | 3,863 | $10,391.47 | $10,391.62 |
$-162.25 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $2.32 | 4,475 | $10,390.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:15pm ET | $2.38 | 4,475 | $10,657.21 | $10,657.88 |
+$266.26 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 11:25am ET | $2.25 | 4,736 | $10,656.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:55am ET | $2.28 | 4,736 | $10,802.82 | $10,804.70 |
+$146.82 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 12:25pm ET | $2.31 | 4,677 | $10,803.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:25pm ET | $2.37 | 4,677 | $11,075.14 | $11,075.97 |
+$271.27 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:25am ET | $2.36 | 4,689 | $11,075.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:15am ET | $2.34 | 4,689 | $10,962.88 | $10,963.43 |
$-112.54 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $2.17 | 5,063 | $10,961.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $2.23 | 5,063 | $11,279.86 | $11,281.89 |
+$318.46 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET | $2.23 | 5,055 | $11,281.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:55am ET | $2.21 | 5,055 | $11,161.44 | $11,162.09 |
$-119.80 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $2.14 | 5,215 | $11,160.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:45am ET | $2.20 | 5,215 | $11,452.14 | $11,454.13 |
+$292.04 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 11:15am ET | $2.22 | 5,157 | $11,452.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 3:10pm ET | $2.31 | 5,157 | $11,897.20 | $11,899.18 |
+$445.05 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $1.94 | 6,139 | $11,898.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $1.91 | 6,139 | $11,700.32 | $11,701.50 |
$-197.68 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 11:05am ET | $1.86 | 6,304 | $11,700.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 12:30pm ET | $1.83 | 6,304 | $11,561.54 | $11,562.81 |
$-138.69 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 11:00am ET | $1.76 | 6,558 | $11,561.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:55pm ET | $1.74 | 6,558 | $11,389.28 | $11,390.33 |
$-172.48 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:40am ET | $1.87 | 6,100 | $11,388.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 29, 2025 11:15am ET | $1.84 | 6,100 | $11,242.30 | $11,243.93 |
$-146.40 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:55am ET | $1.84 | 6,110 | $11,242.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 1:35pm ET | $1.82 | 6,110 | $11,120.20 | $11,121.73 |
$-122.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 11:30am ET | $2.04 | 5,442 | $11,121.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:35pm ET | $2.10 | 5,442 | $11,428.20 | $11,428.66 |
+$306.93 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $2.14 | 5,345 | $11,427.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET | $2.12 | 5,345 | $11,308.42 | $11,309.47 |
$-119.19 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $2.09 | 5,421 | $11,308.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:15am ET | $2.14 | 5,421 | $11,592.27 | $11,592.99 |
+$283.52 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET | $2.07 | 5,592 | $11,592.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $2.19 | 5,592 | $12,248.72 | $12,249.49 |
+$656.50 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:50am ET | $2.24 | 5,470 | $12,247.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $2.30 | 5,470 | $12,553.65 | $12,555.81 |
+$306.32 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1.99 | 6,325 | $12,555.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $1.96 | 6,325 | $12,415.98 | $12,416.66 |
$-139.15 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $1.95 | 6,370 | $12,415.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1.93 | 6,370 | $12,281.36 | $12,282.89 |
$-133.77 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $1.89 | 6,488 | $12,281.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $1.86 | 6,488 | $12,080.66 | $12,081.76 |
$-201.13 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $1.57 | 7,695 | $12,081.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 1:10pm ET | $1.55 | 7,695 | $11,950.34 | $11,950.94 |
$-130.82 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:30pm ET | $1.54 | 7,745 | $11,950.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.46 | 7,745 | $11,284.47 | $11,284.87 |
$-666.07 (-5.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $1.36 | 8,297 | $11,283.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.40 | 8,297 | $11,582.61 | $11,583.56 |
+$298.69 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $1.33 | 8,730 | $11,582.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $1.30 | 8,730 | $11,346.51 | $11,347.54 |
$-236.02 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET | $1.45 | 7,824 | $11,347.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $1.38 | 7,824 | $10,759.20 | $10,759.20 |
$-643.61 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,759.20
Net Profit/Loss:
+$759.20
Total Return:
+7.59%