Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.7 neutral
20d Trend
+13.0%
5d Trend
-4.5%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
5.5%
Range Pos
67%
Bounce Ratio
1.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,136
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,753.18
Current Value
$8,341.53
Period P&L
$-411.65
Max Drawdown
-34.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
8 / 22
Best Trade
+4.13%
Worst Trade
-1.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
16.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$519,901.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-411.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$-411.65
Gross Return
-4.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GME Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,753.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 12:45pm ET $22.19 397 $8,809.43
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $21.83 397 $8,664.53 $8,675.76 $-144.91
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:10am ET $21.39 405 $8,662.50
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:40am ET $21.39 405 $8,660.93 $8,674.18 $-1.58
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $21.54 402 $8,657.07
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:50am ET $21.31 402 $8,566.30 $8,583.41 $-90.77
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:10pm ET $20.55 417 $8,567.27
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:20am ET $20.31 417 $8,469.27 $8,485.41 $-98.00
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:50am ET $20.37 416 $8,471.84
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 2:30pm ET $20.14 416 $8,376.16 $8,389.73 $-95.68
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 10:05am ET $20.80 403 $8,382.40
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 12:30pm ET $21.33 403 $8,593.98 $8,601.30 +$211.57
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 10:30am ET $21.52 399 $8,584.76
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET $22.33 399 $8,909.67 $8,926.21 +$324.91
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:50am ET $22.74 392 $8,914.08
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:15pm ET $22.46 392 $8,804.32 $8,816.45 $-109.76
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:15am ET $22.78 387 $8,815.86
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET $22.54 387 $8,722.98 $8,723.57 $-92.88
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 11:05am ET $23.46 371 $8,705.37
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:00pm ET $23.23 371 $8,616.48 $8,634.68 $-88.89
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 10:40am ET $21.63 399 $8,632.25
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 12:10pm ET $22.21 399 $8,859.80 $8,862.23 +$227.55
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:50am ET $22.32 397 $8,859.49
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 12:25pm ET $22.08 397 $8,765.76 $8,768.50 $-93.73
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 12:15pm ET $22.84 383 $8,745.81
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:45pm ET $22.88 383 $8,764.76 $8,787.46 +$18.96
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 10:10am ET $21.53 408 $8,782.20
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET $21.21 408 $8,651.64 $8,656.90 $-130.56
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $20.55 421 $8,651.55
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET $20.58 421 $8,664.18 $8,669.53 +$12.63
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $20.75 417 $8,650.67
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $20.62 417 $8,596.46 $8,615.32 $-54.21
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $20.81 414 $8,613.27
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $21.67 414 $8,969.31 $8,971.36 +$356.04
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:40am ET $21.90 409 $8,957.10
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $21.58 409 $8,825.93 $8,840.19 $-131.17
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:25am ET $21.43 412 $8,827.10
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $21.16 412 $8,717.92 $8,731.01 $-109.18
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $21.56 405 $8,729.78
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $21.32 405 $8,634.60 $8,635.84 $-95.17
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET $21.26 406 $8,631.56
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $21.04 406 $8,542.24 $8,546.52 $-89.32
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET $21.23 402 $8,534.42
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET $21.20 402 $8,522.40 $8,534.50 $-12.02
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $21.07 405 $8,531.33
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $20.85 405 $8,442.23 $8,445.40 $-89.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:20am ET $22.72 371 $8,427.27
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $23.34 371 $8,657.95 $8,676.09 +$230.69
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET $24.17 359 $8,676.06
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $24.83 359 $8,913.61 $8,913.64 +$237.55
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $24.23 367 $8,892.41
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $23.86 367 $8,754.79 $8,776.01 $-137.63
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET $25.57 343 $8,770.51
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET $25.27 343 $8,667.61 $8,673.11 $-102.90
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $24.74 350 $8,659.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET $24.49 350 $8,571.64 $8,585.75 $-87.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $25.39 338 $8,581.82
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $25.10 338 $8,483.80 $8,487.73 $-98.02
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $24.90 340 $8,466.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $24.47 340 $8,319.80 $8,341.53 $-146.20
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,341.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,658.47
Total Return: -16.58%
Back to Surge