Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:01

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.6/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
3.0/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 29.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 22.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,367
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
134 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,100.84
Current Value
$12,891.61
Period P&L
$1,790.77
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
16 / 13
Best Trade
+6.88%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.57%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$678,674.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,790.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,790.77
Gross Return
+16.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 134 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,100.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 11:45am ET $793.40 13 $10,314.20
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $785.33 13 $10,209.23 $10,983.65 $-104.97
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 3:50pm ET $785.57 13 $10,212.41
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:20am ET $797.34 13 $10,365.42 $11,136.66 +$153.01
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 11:50am ET $804.98 13 $10,464.74
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET $836.82 13 $10,878.66 $11,550.58 +$413.92
(+4.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 2:20pm ET $799.73 14 $11,196.26
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 3:40pm ET $791.46 14 $11,080.44 $11,434.76 $-115.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET $781.24 14 $10,937.36
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:55am ET $781.39 14 $10,939.46 $11,436.86 +$2.10
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $786.77 14 $11,014.71
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $814.21 14 $11,398.94 $11,821.09 +$384.23
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 10:35am ET $815.60 14 $11,418.40
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 11:10am ET $806.11 14 $11,285.54 $11,688.23 $-132.86
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $788.23 14 $11,035.22
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:30am ET $792.44 14 $11,094.16 $11,747.17 +$58.94
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:10am ET $818.68 14 $11,461.52
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 11:40am ET $829.55 14 $11,613.70 $11,899.35 +$152.18
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:45am ET $829.39 14 $11,611.46
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:10am ET $819.28 14 $11,469.92 $11,757.81 $-141.54
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 12:35pm ET $818.97 14 $11,465.58
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:05pm ET $833.40 14 $11,667.60 $11,959.83 +$202.02
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 1:10pm ET $833.63 14 $11,670.75
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 1:40pm ET $837.54 14 $11,725.56 $12,014.64 +$54.81
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET $853.45 14 $11,948.30
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET $865.67 14 $12,119.38 $12,185.72 +$171.08
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 10:35am ET $878.31 13 $11,418.03
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 11:05am ET $880.84 13 $11,450.92 $12,218.61 +$32.89
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:00pm ET $883.41 13 $11,484.39
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:55am ET $907.43 13 $11,796.59 $12,530.81 +$312.20
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:25pm ET $908.65 13 $11,812.45
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET $898.07 13 $11,674.97 $12,393.33 $-137.48
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET $894.82 13 $11,632.66
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET $899.70 13 $11,696.10 $12,456.77 +$63.44
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:35am ET $909.41 13 $11,822.33
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET $907.07 13 $11,791.91 $12,426.35 $-30.42
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:35am ET $892.44 13 $11,601.72
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $953.83 13 $12,399.79 $13,224.42 +$798.07
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET $955.71 13 $12,424.23
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:40am ET $945.17 13 $12,287.21 $13,087.40 $-137.02
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $957.33 13 $12,445.29
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $944.88 13 $12,283.38 $12,925.48 $-161.92
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:50pm ET $948.17 13 $12,326.21
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $935.53 13 $12,161.89 $12,761.16 $-164.32
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $966.59 13 $12,565.67
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET $965.49 13 $12,551.37 $12,746.86 $-14.30
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:20am ET $958.50 13 $12,460.50
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:40pm ET $946.36 13 $12,302.68 $12,589.04 $-157.82
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET $960.84 13 $12,490.92
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:45am ET $960.52 13 $12,486.76 $12,584.88 $-4.16
(-0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $941.02 13 $12,233.26
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:05am ET $946.10 13 $12,299.30 $12,650.92 +$66.04
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:15am ET $927.11 13 $12,052.43
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $944.90 13 $12,283.70 $12,882.19 +$231.27
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $944.12 13 $12,273.56
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:20am ET $941.98 13 $12,245.74 $12,854.37 $-27.82
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:35am ET $902.96 14 $12,641.44
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $905.62 14 $12,678.68 $12,891.61 +$37.24
(+0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,891.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,891.61
Total Return: +28.92%
Back to Surge