Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:26:55

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.4/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 36.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,801
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,344.71
Current Value
$19,597.46
Period P&L
$252.75
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
6 / 13
Best Trade
+15.92%
Worst Trade
-5.91%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$698,884.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$252.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$252.75
Gross Return
+1.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $19,344.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 11:10am ET $121.90 158 $19,260.20
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 11:40am ET $122.12 158 $19,294.17 $19,364.46 +$33.97
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $120.53 160 $19,284.80
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:00am ET $118.60 160 $18,976.00 $19,055.66 $-308.80
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $115.86 164 $19,001.20
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $120.12 164 $19,699.68 $19,754.14 +$698.48
(+3.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $120.69 163 $19,672.47
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $121.20 163 $19,754.79 $19,836.45 +$82.31
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $117.14 169 $19,795.82
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $115.76 169 $19,563.44 $19,604.07 $-232.38
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $118.56 165 $19,562.40
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $117.24 165 $19,344.60 $19,386.27 $-217.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $119.53 162 $19,363.86
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $118.06 162 $19,125.23 $19,147.64 $-238.63
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $107.44 178 $19,123.88
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $106.33 178 $18,925.85 $18,949.61 $-198.03
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:45am ET $109.22 173 $18,894.37
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:00pm ET $107.97 173 $18,679.66 $18,734.90 $-214.71
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:00am ET $82.89 226 $18,734.27
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:55pm ET $81.86 226 $18,501.49 $18,502.12 $-232.78
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $87.39 211 $18,439.82
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $86.39 211 $18,228.29 $18,290.59 $-211.53
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $87.71 208 $18,242.64
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET $86.79 208 $18,052.32 $18,100.27 $-190.32
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:00am ET $75.03 241 $18,082.23
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $75.94 241 $18,301.54 $18,319.58 +$219.31
(+1.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $72.05 254 $18,300.70
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $67.79 254 $17,219.93 $17,238.81 $-1,080.77
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $71.20 242 $17,230.40
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 242 $16,260.95 $16,269.36 $-969.45
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 211 $16,239.61
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:55am ET $73.04 211 $15,412.49 $15,442.24 $-827.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 205 $15,424.20
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $86.73 205 $17,779.65 $17,797.69 +$2,355.45
(+15.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 197 $17,749.70
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 197 $16,858.57 $16,906.56 $-891.13
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $86.26 196 $16,906.16
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $99.99 196 $19,597.06 $19,597.46 +$2,690.90
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,597.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,597.46
Total Return: +95.97%
Back to Surge