Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:22

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 27.8/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,473
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,211.18
Current Value
$14,656.79
Period P&L
$4,445.61
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
14 / 16
Best Trade
+21.66%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
+1.35%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$668,376.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,445.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,445.61
Gross Return
+43.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+43.54%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 30 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,211.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:40pm ET $38.24 267 $10,210.08
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $37.58 267 $10,035.14 $10,036.24 $-174.94
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:40am ET $35.50 282 $10,009.59
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:10am ET $35.39 282 $9,979.70 $10,006.35 $-29.89
(-0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:40pm ET $34.48 290 $9,999.20
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET $35.53 290 $10,303.70 $10,310.85 +$304.50
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:10am ET $35.63 289 $10,296.00
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:50am ET $35.16 289 $10,159.80 $10,174.64 $-136.21
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 11:55am ET $34.22 297 $10,163.34
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 1:10pm ET $33.85 297 $10,051.97 $10,063.26 $-111.38
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:25am ET $35.55 283 $10,059.24
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:55am ET $35.63 283 $10,083.29 $10,087.32 +$24.06
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 12:30pm ET $36.05 279 $10,057.95
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:15am ET $37.00 279 $10,321.61 $10,350.98 +$263.66
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 11:20am ET $37.07 279 $10,341.14
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET $39.03 279 $10,889.37 $10,899.22 +$548.24
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:30am ET $39.24 277 $10,868.10
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 12:45pm ET $40.25 277 $11,149.22 $11,180.35 +$281.13
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 10:05am ET $41.85 267 $11,173.95
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:40am ET $43.08 267 $11,501.83 $11,508.23 +$327.88
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET $42.55 270 $11,487.15
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:50am ET $41.97 270 $11,330.55 $11,351.63 $-156.60
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET $40.51 280 $11,342.80
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $39.57 280 $11,079.60 $11,088.43 $-263.20
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:10am ET $35.97 308 $11,079.16
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:35pm ET $36.26 308 $11,168.08 $11,177.35 +$88.92
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:45pm ET $36.41 306 $11,142.62
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:15pm ET $36.60 306 $11,198.07 $11,232.80 +$55.45
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 10:35am ET $37.60 298 $11,203.31
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 10:55am ET $37.22 298 $11,090.07 $11,119.56 $-113.24
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $39.75 279 $11,088.86
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $39.34 279 $10,975.86 $11,006.57 $-112.99
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $40.16 274 $11,003.81
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $42.95 274 $11,766.93 $11,769.69 +$763.12
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET $43.48 270 $11,739.60
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $43.02 270 $11,614.05 $11,644.14 $-125.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $45.06 258 $11,625.48
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $44.45 258 $11,466.81 $11,485.47 $-158.67
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $46.94 244 $11,453.36
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $48.19 244 $11,758.36 $11,790.47 +$305.00
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $49.87 236 $11,769.32
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:50am ET $49.24 236 $11,620.64 $11,641.79 $-148.68
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $53.12 219 $11,632.19
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:35am ET $54.24 219 $11,877.47 $11,887.07 +$245.28
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET $49.02 242 $11,861.63
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $48.44 242 $11,722.82 $11,748.26 $-138.81
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:20am ET $48.49 242 $11,735.79
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.71 242 $12,029.82 $12,042.29 +$294.03
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $49.97 240 $11,992.80
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $48.81 240 $11,713.20 $11,762.69 $-279.60
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $47.28 248 $11,725.47
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $46.80 248 $11,605.53 $11,642.76 $-119.93
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $48.00 242 $11,616.00
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $45.08 242 $10,910.57 $10,937.33 $-705.43
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
28 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $45.89 238 $10,921.82
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $43.55 238 $10,364.90 $10,380.41 $-556.92
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
29 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $45.43 228 $10,358.04
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $52.78 228 $12,033.84 $12,056.21 +$1,675.80
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
30 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $67.46 178 $12,007.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $82.07 178 $14,608.46 $14,656.79 +$2,600.58
(+21.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,656.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,656.79
Total Return: +46.57%
Back to Surge