Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:26:27

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.3/35
Total Return
13.8/25
Win Rate
4.8/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 36.3/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 33.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,978
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,097.45
Current Value
$14,474.50
Period P&L
$2,377.05
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
13 / 2
Best Trade
+10.22%
Worst Trade
-1.17%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$377,668.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,377.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,377.05
Gross Return
+19.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,097.45 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 10:20am ET $254.34 47 $11,953.75
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:50am ET $252.22 47 $11,854.11 $11,997.81 $-99.64
(-0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $248.83 48 $11,943.84
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:10pm ET $253.19 48 $12,153.12 $12,207.09 +$209.28
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $253.04 48 $12,145.92
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $256.07 48 $12,291.12 $12,352.29 +$145.20
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $256.14 48 $12,294.72
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET $257.74 48 $12,371.52 $12,429.09 +$76.80
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:55am ET $258.27 48 $12,396.72
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $261.36 48 $12,545.28 $12,577.65 +$148.56
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $260.85 48 $12,520.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $261.52 48 $12,552.96 $12,609.81 +$32.16
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 2:55pm ET $262.45 48 $12,597.60
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $265.71 48 $12,754.08 $12,766.29 +$156.48
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $265.84 48 $12,760.08
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $262.73 48 $12,611.04 $12,617.25 $-149.04
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $264.45 47 $12,429.15
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET $266.59 47 $12,529.73 $12,717.83 +$100.58
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $267.46 47 $12,570.62
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $270.04 47 $12,691.88 $12,839.09 +$121.26
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET $262.21 48 $12,585.86
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $263.45 48 $12,645.84 $12,899.07 +$59.98
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $263.33 48 $12,639.84
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $267.23 48 $12,827.04 $13,086.27 +$187.20
(+1.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:45am ET $267.34 48 $12,832.32
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $268.32 48 $12,879.12 $13,133.07 +$46.80
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $262.80 49 $12,877.20
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.87 49 $12,880.63 $13,136.50 +$3.43
(+0.0%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $261.95 50 $13,097.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $288.71 50 $14,435.50 $14,474.50 +$1,338.00
(+10.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
48d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,474.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,474.50
Total Return: +44.75%
Back to Surge