Compendium › Surge › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 16 trades in period

+7.01%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,275.27
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$10,536.93
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:50

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.7/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 20.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 15.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,238
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
128 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,536.93
Current Value
$11,275.27
Period P&L
$738.34
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
9 / 7
Best Trade
+3.00%
Worst Trade
-1.87%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$359,314.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$738.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$738.34
Gross Return
+7.01%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 128 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,536.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 11:25am ET $92.02 114 $10,490.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:55am ET $92.04 114 $10,492.56 $10,539.21 +$2.28
(+0.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:10pm ET $92.78 113 $10,483.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:35am ET $95.10 113 $10,746.30 $10,801.93 +$262.72
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $95.40 113 $10,779.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:25am ET $96.16 113 $10,866.08 $10,888.38 +$86.45
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $100.57 108 $10,861.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:55am ET $102.55 108 $11,075.40 $11,102.22 +$213.84
(+2.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 11:00am ET $102.68 108 $11,089.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET $104.55 108 $11,291.40 $11,304.19 +$201.97
(+1.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 2:05pm ET $99.11 114 $11,298.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET $97.26 114 $11,087.07 $11,092.72 $-211.47
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $96.40 115 $11,086.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:20pm ET $97.35 115 $11,195.25 $11,201.97 +$109.25
(+1.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $97.39 115 $11,199.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:10am ET $100.01 115 $11,501.15 $11,503.85 +$301.88
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $100.48 114 $11,454.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:35pm ET $99.43 114 $11,335.02 $11,384.15 $-119.70
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $97.01 117 $11,350.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $98.79 117 $11,558.43 $11,592.41 +$208.26
(+1.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET $99.07 117 $11,591.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET $97.82 117 $11,444.94 $11,446.16 $-146.25
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $97.08 117 $11,358.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $100.00 117 $11,699.42 $11,787.22 +$341.06
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $101.52 116 $11,776.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET $100.49 116 $11,656.84 $11,667.74 $-119.48
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:40am ET $101.86 114 $11,611.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $100.74 114 $11,484.36 $11,540.63 $-127.11
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:15am ET $104.31 110 $11,474.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $103.13 110 $11,344.71 $11,411.24 $-129.39
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:05am ET $102.56 111 $11,383.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $101.33 111 $11,247.63 $11,275.27 $-135.97
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,275.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,275.27
Total Return: +12.75%
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