Compendium › Surge › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 27 trades in period

+3.33%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,387.12
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$13,923.26
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:30:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 38.5/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 35.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,261
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,923.26
Current Value
$14,387.12
Period P&L
$463.87
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
9 / 18
Best Trade
+15.03%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$710,715.00
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$463.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$463.87
Gross Return
+3.33%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,923.26 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:20am ET $635.90 21 $13,353.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $622.80 21 $13,078.80 $13,599.43 $-275.00
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET $619.47 21 $13,008.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:25pm ET $632.63 21 $13,285.27 $13,875.94 +$276.51
(+2.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 3:50pm ET $634.57 21 $13,325.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET $625.23 21 $13,129.83 $13,679.80 $-196.14
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:25am ET $609.12 22 $13,400.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:55am ET $607.53 22 $13,365.55 $13,644.82 $-34.98
(-0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 2:10pm ET $600.12 22 $13,202.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $593.90 22 $13,065.80 $13,507.98 $-136.84
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:30am ET $612.60 22 $13,477.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:40am ET $628.01 22 $13,816.22 $13,847.00 +$339.02
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 1:45pm ET $631.50 21 $13,261.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 2:15pm ET $634.41 21 $13,322.61 $13,908.11 +$61.11
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:15am ET $645.11 21 $13,547.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:40pm ET $641.39 21 $13,469.19 $13,830.09 $-78.02
(-0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:15pm ET $646.04 21 $13,566.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 1:45pm ET $644.50 21 $13,534.50 $13,797.75 $-32.34
(-0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:15am ET $672.11 20 $13,442.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:45am ET $669.18 20 $13,383.60 $13,739.15 $-58.60
(-0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET $653.64 21 $13,726.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:05am ET $646.79 21 $13,582.59 $13,595.40 $-143.75
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 12:40pm ET $651.69 20 $13,033.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 1:10pm ET $650.95 20 $13,018.90 $13,580.50 $-14.90
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 2:30pm ET $655.91 20 $13,118.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:00pm ET $652.78 20 $13,055.69 $13,517.99 $-62.51
(-0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET $666.34 20 $13,326.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 10:55am ET $663.73 20 $13,274.60 $13,465.79 $-52.20
(-0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $664.14 20 $13,282.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $656.42 20 $13,128.33 $13,311.42 $-154.37
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $664.17 20 $13,283.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $648.63 20 $12,972.50 $13,000.52 $-310.90
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $653.25 19 $12,411.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET $645.81 19 $12,270.39 $12,859.16 $-141.36
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET $622.42 20 $12,448.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $623.96 20 $12,479.20 $12,889.96 +$30.80
(+0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $609.99 21 $12,809.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $633.18 21 $13,296.78 $13,376.95 +$486.99
(+3.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:40am ET $639.51 20 $12,790.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $658.20 20 $13,164.00 $13,750.75 +$373.80
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $659.89 20 $13,197.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:35am ET $669.41 20 $13,388.10 $13,941.05 +$190.30
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $672.70 20 $13,453.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:30am ET $669.74 20 $13,394.70 $13,881.85 $-59.20
(-0.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $675.09 20 $13,501.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $650.39 20 $13,007.80 $13,387.85 $-494.00
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $673.59 19 $12,798.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $674.21 19 $12,809.99 $13,399.63 +$11.78
(+0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $648.77 20 $12,975.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $641.26 20 $12,825.10 $13,249.33 $-150.30
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $630.18 21 $13,233.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $597.58 21 $12,549.11 $12,564.66 $-684.67
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
27 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $551.01 22 $12,122.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $633.85 22 $13,944.70 $14,387.12 +$1,822.46
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,387.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,387.12
Total Return: +43.87%
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