MS Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 29 trades in period
+6.74%
Last 6 Months Return
$16,551.06
Current Value
52%
Win Rate
$15,505.57
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
34
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.1/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
4.8/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality
45.4/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 33.9
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,637
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,505.57
Current Value
$16,551.06
Period P&L
$1,045.50
Max Drawdown
-16.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
29
Winners / Losers
15 /
14
Best Trade
+4.70%
Worst Trade
-2.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$957,501.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,045.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,045.50
Gross Return
+6.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.74%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 29 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $15,505.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 11:25am ET | $164.65 | 93 | $15,312.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:55am ET | $163.01 | 93 | $15,159.47 | $15,273.53 |
$-152.99 (-1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:00pm ET | $166.58 | 91 | $15,158.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $171.71 | 91 | $15,625.61 | $15,740.36 |
+$466.83 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:35pm ET | $164.70 | 95 | $15,646.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $162.58 | 95 | $15,445.10 | $15,538.96 |
$-201.40 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 12:40pm ET | $160.40 | 96 | $15,398.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 1:10pm ET | $161.98 | 96 | $15,550.08 | $15,690.64 |
+$151.68 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 1:35pm ET | $162.48 | 96 | $15,598.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET | $166.74 | 96 | $16,007.04 | $16,099.60 |
+$408.96 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:45am ET | $162.49 | 99 | $16,086.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 11:15am ET | $163.04 | 99 | $16,140.96 | $16,154.05 |
+$54.45 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET | $168.35 | 95 | $15,993.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $170.10 | 95 | $16,159.05 | $16,319.81 |
+$165.76 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:35am ET | $170.09 | 95 | $16,158.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:25am ET | $168.02 | 95 | $15,961.90 | $16,122.78 |
$-197.03 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $170.48 | 94 | $16,025.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:10am ET | $174.79 | 94 | $16,430.40 | $16,528.06 |
+$405.28 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:15am ET | $175.53 | 94 | $16,499.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $176.58 | 94 | $16,598.52 | $16,626.76 |
+$98.70 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:50am ET | $176.79 | 94 | $16,618.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:20am ET | $178.80 | 94 | $16,807.20 | $16,815.70 |
+$188.94 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:55am ET | $180.02 | 93 | $16,741.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:25am ET | $179.47 | 93 | $16,691.06 | $16,765.19 |
$-50.51 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:35pm ET | $180.06 | 93 | $16,745.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:05pm ET | $181.81 | 93 | $16,908.33 | $16,927.94 |
+$162.75 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 3:15pm ET | $181.83 | 93 | $16,910.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET | $179.72 | 93 | $16,713.96 | $16,731.71 |
$-196.23 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $176.30 | 94 | $16,572.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $178.64 | 94 | $16,792.16 | $16,951.67 |
+$219.96 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 11:30am ET | $179.42 | 94 | $16,865.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET | $179.17 | 94 | $16,841.51 | $16,927.70 |
$-23.97 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 11:55am ET | $181.40 | 93 | $16,869.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:20pm ET | $181.69 | 93 | $16,897.17 | $16,955.13 |
+$27.43 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:45am ET | $179.18 | 94 | $16,842.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $187.61 | 94 | $17,635.34 | $17,747.55 |
+$792.42 (+4.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:20am ET | $187.72 | 94 | $17,645.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET | $187.37 | 94 | $17,612.78 | $17,714.65 |
$-32.90 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $188.63 | 93 | $17,542.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $185.52 | 93 | $17,253.36 | $17,425.42 |
$-289.23 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $187.12 | 93 | $17,402.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $182.77 | 93 | $16,997.61 | $17,020.87 |
$-404.55 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET | $189.68 | 89 | $16,881.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:45am ET | $191.77 | 89 | $17,067.53 | $17,206.88 |
+$186.01 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $185.07 | 92 | $17,026.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $183.11 | 92 | $16,845.66 | $17,026.10 |
$-180.78 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET | $185.97 | 91 | $16,923.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $184.02 | 91 | $16,745.82 | $16,848.65 |
$-177.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $182.22 | 92 | $16,764.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:45am ET | $182.44 | 92 | $16,784.48 | $16,868.89 |
+$20.24 (+0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $182.68 | 92 | $16,806.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET | $180.53 | 92 | $16,608.76 | $16,671.09 |
$-197.80 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $184.02 | 90 | $16,561.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $182.19 | 90 | $16,397.10 | $16,506.39 |
$-164.70 (-1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET | $182.63 | 90 | $16,436.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $180.22 | 90 | $16,219.80 | $16,289.94 |
$-216.45 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $168.27 | 96 | $16,153.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $170.99 | 96 | $16,415.04 | $16,551.06 |
+$261.12 (+1.6%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,551.06
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,551.06
Total Return:
+65.51%