Compendium › Surge › NFLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NFLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 19 trades in period

-10.58%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,394.74
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,506.73
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 5.5/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 5.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,541
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,506.73
Current Value
$9,394.74
Period P&L
$-1,111.99
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
10 / 9
Best Trade
+2.63%
Worst Trade
-5.98%
Avg Trade Return
-0.54%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$383,219.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,111.99
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,111.99
Gross Return
-10.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,506.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 11:20am ET $108.94 95 $10,349.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 11:50am ET $110.22 95 $10,470.57 $10,574.89 +$120.98
(+1.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 11:35am ET $114.24 92 $10,510.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 12:05pm ET $115.29 92 $10,606.50 $10,671.31 +$96.42
(+0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET $112.70 94 $10,593.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:00am ET $111.42 94 $10,473.48 $10,550.99 $-120.32
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET $106.18 99 $10,511.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $104.42 99 $10,337.58 $10,376.75 $-174.24
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 11:05am ET $107.84 96 $10,352.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 2:30pm ET $108.57 96 $10,422.72 $10,446.83 +$70.08
(+0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 2:35pm ET $108.71 96 $10,436.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 3:05pm ET $109.50 96 $10,512.00 $10,522.68 +$75.85
(+0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:30pm ET $109.70 95 $10,421.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $103.13 95 $9,797.82 $9,899.47 $-623.21
(-6.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:25am ET $104.67 94 $9,838.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:40am ET $102.93 94 $9,674.96 $9,735.45 $-164.02
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:15am ET $94.23 103 $9,705.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:45am ET $95.61 103 $9,847.84 $9,877.60 +$142.15
(+1.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 11:50am ET $94.52 104 $9,830.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $97.01 104 $10,089.04 $10,136.58 +$258.98
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 11:00am ET $93.59 108 $10,107.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 2:25pm ET $94.26 108 $10,179.54 $10,208.40 +$71.82
(+0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 2:30pm ET $94.28 108 $10,182.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 3:00pm ET $94.27 108 $10,180.62 $10,206.78 $-1.62
(-0.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $91.13 112 $10,206.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $88.61 112 $9,923.76 $9,923.97 $-282.81
(-2.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 3:35pm ET $85.14 116 $9,875.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $84.25 116 $9,772.42 $9,820.73 $-103.24
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:30am ET $85.53 114 $9,750.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $86.11 114 $9,816.54 $9,886.61 +$65.88
(+0.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $80.68 122 $9,842.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:45am ET $81.56 122 $9,949.71 $9,993.97 +$107.36
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $84.61 118 $9,983.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:50am ET $83.66 118 $9,871.88 $9,882.46 $-111.51
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:05pm ET $76.72 128 $9,820.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $76.85 128 $9,836.16 $9,898.46 +$16.00
(+0.2%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $101.25 97 $9,820.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 97 $9,317.04 $9,394.74 $-503.72
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,394.74
Net Profit/Loss: $-605.26
Total Return: -6.05%
Back to Surge