Compendium › Surge › ORCL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ORCL
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 23 trades in period

-26.69%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,156.23
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$19,309.47
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:47:18

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 27.4/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 25.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,510
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,309.47
Current Value
$14,156.23
Period P&L
$-5,153.24
Max Drawdown
-23.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
23
Winners / Losers
8 / 15
Best Trade
+4.45%
Worst Trade
-15.00%
Avg Trade Return
-1.30%
Avg Hold Time
23.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$795,250.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,153.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,153.24
Gross Return
-26.69%
Net Return (after fees)
-26.69%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 23 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $19,309.47 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 10:15am ET $250.62 77 $19,297.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET $240.70 77 $18,533.90 $18,685.77 $-763.84
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:05am ET $218.31 85 $18,556.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 10:10am ET $215.55 85 $18,321.75 $18,450.96 $-234.81
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:45pm ET $221.00 83 $18,343.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $228.00 83 $18,924.00 $19,031.96 +$581.00
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET $226.82 83 $18,826.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 10:45am ET $223.26 83 $18,530.76 $18,736.66 $-295.30
(-1.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:00am ET $202.45 92 $18,625.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:25am ET $200.03 92 $18,402.76 $18,514.02 $-222.64
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:05am ET $195.15 94 $18,344.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET $203.83 94 $19,160.02 $19,329.94 +$815.92
(+4.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 10:15am ET $201.62 95 $19,153.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:40pm ET $201.69 95 $19,160.08 $19,336.11 +$6.17
(+0.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 12:20pm ET $205.18 94 $19,286.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:30am ET $211.74 94 $19,903.56 $19,952.75 +$616.64
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET $212.03 94 $19,930.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 10:10am ET $217.78 94 $20,471.32 $20,493.25 +$540.50
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 3:20pm ET $223.91 91 $20,375.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $190.32 91 $17,319.12 $17,436.55 $-3,056.70
(-15.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:10am ET $193.80 89 $17,248.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:15am ET $191.68 89 $17,059.08 $17,247.51 $-189.04
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 1:45pm ET $189.21 91 $17,217.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET $180.40 91 $16,416.22 $16,446.07 $-801.44
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 12:55pm ET $198.30 82 $16,260.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $192.90 82 $15,817.80 $16,003.27 $-442.80
(-2.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $194.36 82 $15,937.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $194.22 82 $15,926.04 $15,991.53 $-11.74
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET $193.58 82 $15,873.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $198.73 82 $16,295.86 $16,413.83 +$422.30
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $201.27 81 $16,302.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET $202.18 81 $16,376.18 $16,487.30 +$73.47
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $190.95 86 $16,421.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $183.58 86 $15,787.88 $15,853.48 $-633.82
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $175.66 90 $15,809.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET $181.04 90 $16,293.60 $16,337.68 +$484.20
(+3.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $157.32 103 $16,203.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET $155.05 103 $15,969.74 $16,103.47 $-234.21
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $161.53 99 $15,991.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $159.85 99 $15,825.64 $15,937.64 $-165.83
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 1:50pm ET $158.63 100 $15,862.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:45pm ET $156.64 100 $15,664.00 $15,739.14 $-198.50
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 94 $15,604.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $157.04 94 $14,761.97 $14,897.11 $-842.03
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $151.00 98 $14,798.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $143.44 98 $14,057.12 $14,156.23 $-740.88
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,156.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,156.23
Total Return: +41.56%
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