OXY Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 30 trades in period
-2.24%
Last 6 Months Return
$6,369.70
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$6,515.51
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality
3.6/100
× Confidence 0.91
= 3.3
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,749
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$6,515.51
Current Value
$6,369.70
Period P&L
$-145.81
Max Drawdown
-39.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
30
Winners / Losers
12 /
18
Best Trade
+15.22%
Worst Trade
-11.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$404,372.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-145.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-145.81
Gross Return
-2.24%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.24%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 30 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $6,515.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $41.31 | 157 | $6,485.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $43.21 | 157 | $6,783.19 | $6,813.02 |
+$297.51 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:10am ET | $41.91 | 162 | $6,789.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:40am ET | $42.26 | 162 | $6,845.31 | $6,868.91 |
+$55.89 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:35am ET | $42.56 | 161 | $6,851.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $42.43 | 161 | $6,830.44 | $6,848.00 |
$-20.91 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 11:35am ET | $41.79 | 163 | $6,811.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET | $41.31 | 163 | $6,732.72 | $6,768.95 |
$-79.05 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 1:20pm ET | $41.67 | 162 | $6,749.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 1:50pm ET | $41.34 | 162 | $6,697.08 | $6,716.30 |
$-52.65 (-0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:30am ET | $41.23 | 162 | $6,678.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:00pm ET | $41.37 | 162 | $6,701.13 | $6,738.98 |
+$22.68 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 1:40pm ET | $41.53 | 162 | $6,727.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $41.08 | 162 | $6,654.15 | $6,666.08 |
$-72.90 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 12:50pm ET | $41.45 | 160 | $6,631.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 1:20pm ET | $41.62 | 160 | $6,658.40 | $6,693.28 |
+$27.20 (+0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:35am ET | $42.12 | 158 | $6,654.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:00pm ET | $42.64 | 158 | $6,736.33 | $6,774.86 |
+$81.58 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 11:15am ET | $42.76 | 158 | $6,756.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:45am ET | $42.63 | 158 | $6,734.75 | $6,753.53 |
$-21.33 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:30am ET | $42.97 | 157 | $6,745.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:50pm ET | $42.50 | 157 | $6,671.72 | $6,679.74 |
$-73.79 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 12:05pm ET | $41.70 | 160 | $6,671.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 12:35pm ET | $41.45 | 160 | $6,631.20 | $6,639.74 |
$-40.00 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:30pm ET | $41.63 | 159 | $6,619.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:45pm ET | $41.16 | 159 | $6,543.65 | $6,564.21 |
$-75.53 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $39.79 | 164 | $6,524.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 3:15pm ET | $40.83 | 164 | $6,695.96 | $6,735.43 |
+$171.22 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 10:05am ET | $41.17 | 163 | $6,710.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 10:35am ET | $41.12 | 163 | $6,701.75 | $6,726.47 |
$-8.96 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $41.59 | 161 | $6,695.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 2:50pm ET | $42.68 | 161 | $6,870.68 | $6,901.96 |
+$175.49 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $41.69 | 165 | $6,878.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 1:30pm ET | $42.90 | 165 | $7,077.68 | $7,101.61 |
+$199.65 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $44.04 | 161 | $7,090.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:10am ET | $43.60 | 161 | $7,018.80 | $7,029.59 |
$-72.02 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 2:35pm ET | $44.87 | 156 | $6,998.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:05pm ET | $44.39 | 156 | $6,924.06 | $6,954.71 |
$-74.88 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $43.74 | 159 | $6,954.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:55pm ET | $43.24 | 159 | $6,874.37 | $6,874.41 |
$-80.30 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $45.44 | 151 | $6,861.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $44.11 | 151 | $6,660.61 | $6,673.58 |
$-200.83 (-2.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET | $44.46 | 150 | $6,669.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $45.86 | 150 | $6,879.00 | $6,883.58 |
+$210.00 (+3.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $46.46 | 148 | $6,876.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $45.61 | 148 | $6,750.28 | $6,757.78 |
$-125.80 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $46.25 | 146 | $6,752.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET | $46.46 | 146 | $6,783.16 | $6,788.44 |
+$30.66 (+0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 12:25pm ET | $46.69 | 145 | $6,769.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $46.17 | 145 | $6,695.37 | $6,714.49 |
$-73.95 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:30am ET | $47.56 | 141 | $6,706.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $46.76 | 141 | $6,593.16 | $6,600.98 |
$-113.51 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET | $46.04 | 143 | $6,583.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $46.08 | 143 | $6,588.73 | $6,605.98 |
+$5.00 (+0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.04 | 120 | $6,605.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 1:15pm ET | $52.19 | 120 | $6,262.80 | $6,263.38 |
$-342.60 (-5.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.73 | 110 | $6,240.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $65.36 | 110 | $7,190.15 | $7,213.23 |
+$949.85 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $64.60 | 111 | $7,170.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $57.00 | 111 | $6,327.00 | $6,369.70 |
$-843.53 (-11.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$6,369.70
Net Profit/Loss:
$-3,630.30
Total Return:
-36.30%