PFE Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 31 trades in period
+0.35%
Last 6 Months Return
$9,516.74
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$9,483.71
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
5
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
6.9/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 5.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,672
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,483.71
Current Value
$9,516.74
Period P&L
$33.03
Max Drawdown
-11.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
14 /
17
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-2.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$601,898.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$33.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$33.03
Gross Return
+0.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,483.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 3:00pm ET | $24.63 | 385 | $9,480.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 3:30pm ET | $24.92 | 385 | $9,592.28 | $9,604.95 |
+$111.65 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 3:35pm ET | $24.92 | 385 | $9,594.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 10:00am ET | $24.49 | 385 | $9,428.65 | $9,439.40 |
$-165.55 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 11:35am ET | $24.89 | 379 | $9,431.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $25.51 | 379 | $9,668.29 | $9,676.24 |
+$236.84 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 11:25am ET | $25.70 | 376 | $9,661.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:00am ET | $26.39 | 376 | $9,920.76 | $9,935.68 |
+$259.44 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 10:15am ET | $25.47 | 390 | $9,934.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:55pm ET | $25.20 | 390 | $9,826.05 | $9,826.91 |
$-108.77 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $25.44 | 386 | $9,817.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET | $25.17 | 386 | $9,717.20 | $9,726.20 |
$-100.71 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 10:35am ET | $25.11 | 387 | $9,717.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $25.39 | 387 | $9,824.00 | $9,832.63 |
+$106.43 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:15am ET | $25.40 | 387 | $9,827.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 11:45am ET | $25.66 | 387 | $9,928.49 | $9,933.25 |
+$100.62 (+1.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:45am ET | $25.92 | 383 | $9,927.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 11:15am ET | $26.11 | 383 | $10,001.85 | $10,007.74 |
+$74.49 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 12:55pm ET | $26.18 | 382 | $10,000.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 2:20pm ET | $25.92 | 382 | $9,899.53 | $9,906.51 |
$-101.23 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 10:50am ET | $25.59 | 387 | $9,901.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:20am ET | $25.98 | 387 | $10,054.26 | $10,059.38 |
+$152.87 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 11:30am ET | $26.01 | 386 | $10,037.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 1:10pm ET | $25.70 | 386 | $9,920.32 | $9,941.77 |
$-117.61 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 11:10am ET | $26.04 | 381 | $9,919.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:50am ET | $25.75 | 381 | $9,810.75 | $9,833.18 |
$-108.59 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 1:30pm ET | $26.44 | 371 | $9,809.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET | $25.70 | 371 | $9,534.03 | $9,557.97 |
$-275.21 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $25.28 | 378 | $9,555.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:40am ET | $25.25 | 378 | $9,544.50 | $9,546.63 |
$-11.34 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $25.08 | 380 | $9,528.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $25.08 | 380 | $9,530.40 | $9,548.53 |
+$1.90 (+0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET | $25.55 | 373 | $9,528.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 12:00pm ET | $25.43 | 373 | $9,485.39 | $9,505.63 |
$-42.90 (-0.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $25.69 | 370 | $9,503.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET | $25.63 | 370 | $9,481.25 | $9,483.43 |
$-22.20 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET | $25.62 | 370 | $9,477.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:00am ET | $25.51 | 370 | $9,436.85 | $9,442.73 |
$-40.70 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 12:30pm ET | $25.70 | 367 | $9,431.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 1:00pm ET | $26.07 | 367 | $9,565.86 | $9,576.69 |
+$133.96 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:25am ET | $25.83 | 370 | $9,555.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.49 | 370 | $9,799.45 | $9,820.89 |
+$244.20 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $26.57 | 369 | $9,802.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $26.10 | 369 | $9,629.06 | $9,647.46 |
$-173.43 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET | $26.21 | 368 | $9,643.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 3:20pm ET | $26.41 | 368 | $9,718.88 | $9,722.90 |
+$75.44 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 3:25pm ET | $26.43 | 367 | $9,697.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $26.65 | 367 | $9,780.55 | $9,805.47 |
+$82.57 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 11:30am ET | $26.06 | 376 | $9,797.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 12:00pm ET | $25.80 | 376 | $9,698.92 | $9,706.77 |
$-98.70 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:30am ET | $26.52 | 365 | $9,681.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $26.88 | 365 | $9,809.38 | $9,834.52 |
+$127.75 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $27.22 | 361 | $9,824.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:10am ET | $26.91 | 361 | $9,712.71 | $9,722.61 |
$-111.91 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:15am ET | $27.52 | 353 | $9,716.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 11:45am ET | $27.84 | 353 | $9,829.28 | $9,835.57 |
+$112.96 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $27.88 | 352 | $9,812.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $27.56 | 352 | $9,699.36 | $9,722.93 |
$-112.64 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:40am ET | $27.83 | 349 | $9,712.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.53 | 349 | $9,609.71 | $9,619.94 |
$-102.99 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $27.92 | 344 | $9,606.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $27.63 | 344 | $9,503.00 | $9,516.74 |
$-103.20 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,516.74
Net Profit/Loss:
$-483.26
Total Return:
-4.83%