Compendium › Surge › PLTR
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PLTR
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 27 trades in period

-7.65%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,918.22
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$17,236.65
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:49:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 38.0/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,457
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,236.65
Current Value
$15,918.22
Period P&L
$-1,318.43
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
10 / 17
Best Trade
+8.09%
Worst Trade
-5.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$966,071.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,318.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,318.43
Gross Return
-7.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $17,236.65 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:40pm ET $176.54 97 $17,124.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $190.83 97 $18,510.22 $18,622.44 +$1,385.79
(+8.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 10, 2025 10:10am ET $191.56 97 $18,581.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 11:10am ET $189.12 97 $18,344.64 $18,385.74 $-236.70
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET $173.93 105 $18,262.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 10:00am ET $171.39 105 $17,995.43 $18,118.51 $-267.23
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:50pm ET $171.87 105 $18,046.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 1:55pm ET $169.39 105 $17,785.95 $17,858.11 $-260.40
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:35am ET $162.06 110 $17,826.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET $158.11 110 $17,391.74 $17,423.25 $-434.86
(-2.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:30am ET $161.11 108 $17,399.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET $165.27 108 $17,849.16 $17,872.53 +$449.28
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 1:00pm ET $167.84 106 $17,790.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:25pm ET $166.15 106 $17,611.89 $17,693.91 $-178.62
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 11:45am ET $168.53 104 $17,526.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $175.22 104 $18,222.36 $18,389.30 +$695.39
(+4.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET $172.82 106 $18,318.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:30am ET $176.49 106 $18,707.94 $18,778.27 +$388.97
(+2.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 10:00am ET $180.01 104 $18,721.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:30am ET $182.58 104 $18,988.32 $19,045.55 +$267.28
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 12:50pm ET $187.64 101 $18,951.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET $181.96 101 $18,377.47 $18,471.38 $-574.17
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 12:20pm ET $186.11 99 $18,424.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 10:00am ET $182.74 99 $18,091.26 $18,137.75 $-333.63
(-1.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $186.70 97 $18,109.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET $184.01 97 $17,848.79 $17,876.64 $-261.11
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET $186.36 95 $17,704.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 10:00am ET $191.39 95 $18,182.43 $18,354.96 +$478.32
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 3:05pm ET $192.77 95 $18,313.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 3:35pm ET $193.30 95 $18,363.50 $18,405.31 +$50.35
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET $179.06 102 $18,264.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET $177.17 102 $18,071.34 $18,212.52 $-192.79
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET $182.69 99 $18,086.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET $180.49 99 $17,868.51 $17,994.72 $-217.80
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET $178.30 100 $17,830.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $179.92 100 $17,991.50 $18,156.22 +$161.50
(+0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:35am ET $179.77 100 $17,977.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $177.95 100 $17,794.50 $17,973.72 $-182.50
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $170.43 105 $17,894.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $168.44 105 $17,685.68 $17,764.77 $-208.95
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET $169.37 104 $17,614.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $169.64 104 $17,642.48 $17,792.87 +$28.10
(+0.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $168.99 105 $17,743.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET $167.20 105 $17,555.48 $17,604.39 $-188.48
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $136.46 129 $17,602.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $135.04 129 $17,420.16 $17,421.85 $-182.54
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $141.47 123 $17,400.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $145.05 123 $17,841.15 $17,862.66 +$440.81
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET $132.13 135 $17,837.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $130.72 135 $17,647.20 $17,672.31 $-190.35
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $154.76 114 $17,643.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $146.73 114 $16,727.22 $16,756.32 $-915.99
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.95 116 $16,698.20 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:50am ET $136.73 116 $15,860.10 $15,918.22 $-838.10
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,918.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,918.22
Total Return: +59.18%
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