Simulated with $10,000 starting capital

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 13.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
14,813
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,938.15
Current Value
$11,194.29
Period P&L
$-743.86
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
3 / 11
Best Trade
+3.18%
Worst Trade
-2.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.45%
Avg Hold Time
22.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$314,619.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-743.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-743.86
Gross Return
-6.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,938.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:05am ET $59.82 199 $11,904.18
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:00am ET $58.76 199 $11,693.24 $11,727.21 $-210.94
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET $61.57 190 $11,698.30
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 10:40am ET $61.15 190 $11,619.34 $11,648.25 $-78.96
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:05am ET $62.26 187 $11,642.62
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:50am ET $61.54 187 $11,508.32 $11,513.95 $-134.30
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:25am ET $59.89 192 $11,498.88
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:10pm ET $59.26 192 $11,377.92 $11,392.99 $-120.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET $60.07 189 $11,352.29
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $59.96 189 $11,332.44 $11,373.15 $-19.84
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $59.44 191 $11,353.04
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $59.39 191 $11,343.49 $11,363.60 $-9.55
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $59.61 190 $11,324.95
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $58.79 190 $11,169.15 $11,207.80 $-155.80
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $58.64 191 $11,200.24
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $57.38 191 $10,958.63 $10,966.18 $-241.62
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $57.66 190 $10,955.40
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $57.07 190 $10,842.35 $10,853.13 $-113.05
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.25 192 $10,800.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.98 192 $10,940.16 $10,993.29 +$140.16
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $41.72 263 $10,972.28
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET $41.08 263 $10,804.80 $10,825.81 $-167.48
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $40.74 265 $10,797.42
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $42.04 265 $11,140.60 $11,168.99 +$343.18
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $42.29 264 $11,165.88
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:55am ET $41.84 264 $11,045.76 $11,048.87 $-120.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:50am ET $39.77 277 $11,016.29
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.29 277 $11,161.71 $11,194.29 +$145.42
(+1.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,194.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,194.29
Total Return: +11.94%
Back to Surge