SLV Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 40 trades in period
+14.21%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,105.23
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$9,723.40
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality
19.0/100
× Confidence 0.87
= 16.6
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,540
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,723.40
Current Value
$11,105.23
Period P&L
$1,381.83
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
18 /
22
Best Trade
+11.07%
Worst Trade
-6.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$866,271.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,381.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,381.83
Gross Return
+14.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,723.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 5, 2025 10:40am ET | $43.75 | 223 | $9,755.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 11:10am ET | $43.51 | 223 | $9,701.62 | $9,722.24 |
$-53.52 (-0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:35am ET | $44.20 | 219 | $9,678.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:00pm ET | $43.70 | 219 | $9,569.21 | $9,612.74 |
$-109.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 12:05pm ET | $45.56 | 211 | $9,612.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 12:35pm ET | $46.13 | 211 | $9,733.43 | $9,734.07 |
+$121.33 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 3:45pm ET | $46.44 | 209 | $9,704.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:00am ET | $47.62 | 209 | $9,952.58 | $9,981.73 |
+$247.66 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:25am ET | $47.73 | 209 | $9,975.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 10:55am ET | $47.85 | 209 | $9,999.61 | $10,005.77 |
+$24.04 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:45am ET | $46.50 | 215 | $9,996.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:55pm ET | $46.03 | 215 | $9,896.45 | $9,905.80 |
$-99.97 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 2:10pm ET | $46.36 | 213 | $9,873.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:00pm ET | $45.83 | 213 | $9,760.73 | $9,792.91 |
$-112.89 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 11:30am ET | $45.29 | 216 | $9,781.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:00pm ET | $45.78 | 216 | $9,888.48 | $9,899.83 |
+$106.92 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $45.84 | 215 | $9,855.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 12:50pm ET | $46.49 | 215 | $9,994.28 | $10,038.74 |
+$138.91 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:50am ET | $47.75 | 210 | $10,027.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 10:00am ET | $50.17 | 210 | $10,535.70 | $10,547.40 |
+$508.66 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 10:50am ET | $50.38 | 209 | $10,530.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 10:00am ET | $52.49 | 209 | $10,970.41 | $10,987.53 |
+$440.13 (+4.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $52.57 | 209 | $10,986.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:20am ET | $52.01 | 209 | $10,870.09 | $10,871.53 |
$-116.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 3:30pm ET | $53.06 | 204 | $10,824.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $51.21 | 204 | $10,445.82 | $10,493.11 |
$-378.42 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 10:30am ET | $53.49 | 196 | $10,484.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:10am ET | $52.71 | 196 | $10,330.18 | $10,339.25 |
$-153.86 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:20am ET | $53.99 | 191 | $10,311.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:50am ET | $54.81 | 191 | $10,468.84 | $10,496.96 |
+$157.71 (+1.5%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 2:55pm ET | $55.42 | 189 | $10,474.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 10:00am ET | $56.83 | 189 | $10,740.87 | $10,763.45 |
+$266.49 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:40am ET | $57.30 | 187 | $10,715.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $56.55 | 187 | $10,575.67 | $10,624.02 |
$-139.43 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 2:40pm ET | $58.10 | 182 | $10,573.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $57.47 | 182 | $10,459.54 | $10,510.27 |
$-113.75 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:45am ET | $60.21 | 174 | $10,476.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $59.41 | 174 | $10,337.34 | $10,370.79 |
$-139.48 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 10:55am ET | $60.61 | 171 | $10,363.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $62.40 | 171 | $10,669.85 | $10,677.19 |
+$306.40 (+3.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET | $64.19 | 166 | $10,655.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 12:30pm ET | $65.06 | 166 | $10,799.13 | $10,820.78 |
+$143.59 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:55am ET | $68.95 | 156 | $10,755.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:20pm ET | $70.73 | 156 | $11,033.10 | $11,098.46 |
+$277.68 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET | $69.84 | 158 | $11,034.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 2:50pm ET | $69.07 | 158 | $10,912.27 | $10,976.01 |
$-122.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:45am ET | $70.19 | 156 | $10,949.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:00pm ET | $69.27 | 156 | $10,806.12 | $10,832.47 |
$-143.54 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET | $73.26 | 147 | $10,768.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $70.08 | 147 | $10,301.75 | $10,365.73 |
$-466.74 (-4.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $70.99 | 146 | $10,364.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET | $67.67 | 146 | $9,879.82 | $9,881.01 |
$-484.72 (-4.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $68.31 | 144 | $9,836.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $71.78 | 144 | $10,335.60 | $10,379.97 |
+$498.96 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET | $72.31 | 143 | $10,340.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.02 | 143 | $11,014.10 | $11,053.74 |
+$673.77 (+6.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 11:10am ET | $77.67 | 142 | $11,028.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $80.17 | 142 | $11,384.14 | $11,409.45 |
+$355.71 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:55pm ET | $83.67 | 136 | $11,379.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $81.92 | 136 | $11,141.12 | $11,171.45 |
$-238.00 (-2.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $82.77 | 134 | $11,091.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $81.16 | 134 | $10,875.60 | $10,956.00 |
$-215.45 (-1.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $86.00 | 127 | $10,922.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET | $90.12 | 127 | $11,445.82 | $11,479.72 |
+$523.72 (+4.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET | $90.78 | 126 | $11,437.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $100.82 | 126 | $12,703.32 | $12,745.39 |
+$1,265.67 (+11.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $101.54 | 125 | $12,691.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET | $100.51 | 125 | $12,563.75 | $12,617.27 |
$-128.12 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $100.27 | 125 | $12,534.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET | $104.59 | 125 | $13,073.76 | $13,156.85 |
+$539.58 (+4.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $105.52 | 124 | $13,084.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $102.82 | 124 | $12,749.68 | $12,822.04 |
$-334.81 (-2.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $69.57 | 184 | $12,800.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $68.62 | 184 | $12,626.08 | $12,647.24 |
$-174.80 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $74.56 | 169 | $12,600.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 10:35am ET | $73.48 | 169 | $12,418.12 | $12,464.72 |
$-182.52 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.67 | 154 | $12,423.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 12:10pm ET | $76.58 | 154 | $11,793.32 | $11,834.85 |
$-629.87 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.14 | 178 | $11,772.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $62.04 | 178 | $11,043.30 | $11,105.23 |
$-729.62 (-6.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,105.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,105.23
Total Return:
+11.05%