Compendium › Surge › SNOW
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SNOW
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 25 trades in period

-7.83%
Last 6 Months Return
$5,512.72
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$5,981.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,858
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,981.00
Current Value
$5,512.72
Period P&L
$-468.28
Max Drawdown
-52.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
10 / 15
Best Trade
+6.15%
Worst Trade
-9.60%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$288,240.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-468.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-468.28
Gross Return
-7.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $5,981.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 2:20pm ET $262.80 22 $5,781.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET $272.11 22 $5,986.42 $6,185.82 +$204.82
(+3.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 12:05pm ET $270.88 22 $5,959.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 11:40am ET $268.06 22 $5,897.28 $6,123.85 $-61.97
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 10:30am ET $254.92 24 $6,117.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 11:00am ET $254.88 24 $6,117.12 $6,123.01 $-0.84
(-0.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 12:55pm ET $255.66 23 $5,880.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 11:05am ET $253.10 23 $5,821.30 $6,064.13 $-58.88
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $256.24 23 $5,893.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:45pm ET $253.17 23 $5,822.80 $5,993.40 $-70.73
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET $242.26 24 $5,814.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 11:10am ET $244.90 24 $5,877.48 $6,056.64 +$63.24
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 11:15am ET $245.42 24 $5,890.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:45am ET $249.16 24 $5,979.88 $6,146.44 +$89.80
(+1.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 12:00pm ET $252.62 24 $6,062.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET $263.42 24 $6,322.08 $6,405.64 +$259.20
(+4.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 11:30am ET $265.32 24 $6,367.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET $239.86 24 $5,756.52 $5,794.60 $-611.04
(-9.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 10:05am ET $218.56 26 $5,682.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 11:25am ET $216.34 26 $5,624.84 $5,736.88 $-57.72
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 3:00pm ET $220.25 26 $5,726.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:30pm ET $218.36 26 $5,677.23 $5,687.61 $-49.27
(-0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 10:25am ET $222.88 25 $5,572.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 10:15am ET $220.45 25 $5,511.14 $5,626.75 $-60.86
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:50pm ET $222.69 25 $5,567.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:20pm ET $225.72 25 $5,643.00 $5,702.50 +$75.75
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:25pm ET $225.93 25 $5,648.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $220.34 25 $5,508.50 $5,562.75 $-139.75
(-2.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET $222.25 25 $5,556.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $225.18 25 $5,629.50 $5,636.00 +$73.25
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $230.97 24 $5,543.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $234.27 24 $5,622.48 $5,715.32 +$79.32
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $235.59 24 $5,654.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $233.11 24 $5,594.64 $5,655.80 $-59.52
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $219.74 25 $5,493.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $214.26 25 $5,356.46 $5,518.76 $-137.04
(-2.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $210.76 26 $5,479.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:55am ET $216.03 26 $5,616.78 $5,655.78 +$137.02
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET $212.80 26 $5,532.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $212.64 26 $5,528.64 $5,651.62 $-4.16
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $168.59 33 $5,563.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $173.61 33 $5,729.13 $5,817.44 +$165.82
(+3.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
22 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $174.19 33 $5,748.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $184.91 33 $6,102.03 $6,171.20 +$353.76
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
23 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $183.47 33 $6,054.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.77 33 $5,998.41 $6,115.10 $-56.10
(-0.9%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
24 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $180.70 33 $5,963.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $171.34 33 $5,654.06 $5,806.06 $-309.04
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $156.80 37 $5,801.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $148.87 37 $5,508.26 $5,512.72 $-293.34
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,512.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,487.28
Total Return: -44.87%
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