Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:26:27

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 4.1/100
× Confidence 0.93 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,648
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$5,632.00
Current Value
$8,289.68
Period P&L
$2,657.68
Max Drawdown
-52.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+30.84%
Worst Trade
-5.18%
Avg Trade Return
+3.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$173,191.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,657.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,657.68
Gross Return
+47.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+47.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $5,632.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:50pm ET $222.69 25 $5,567.25
🔴 SELL Dec 22, 2025 2:20pm ET $225.72 25 $5,643.00 $5,702.50 +$75.75
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 2:25pm ET $225.93 25 $5,648.25
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 10:00am ET $220.34 25 $5,508.50 $5,562.75 $-139.75
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:10am ET $222.25 25 $5,556.25
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $225.18 25 $5,629.50 $5,636.00 +$73.25
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $230.97 24 $5,543.16
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $234.27 24 $5,622.48 $5,715.32 +$79.32
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:40pm ET $235.59 24 $5,654.16
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $233.11 24 $5,594.64 $5,655.80 $-59.52
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $219.74 25 $5,493.50
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $214.26 25 $5,356.46 $5,518.76 $-137.04
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $210.76 26 $5,479.76
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:55am ET $216.03 26 $5,616.78 $5,655.78 +$137.02
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:50am ET $212.80 26 $5,532.80
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $212.64 26 $5,528.64 $5,651.62 $-4.16
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $168.59 33 $5,563.31
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $173.61 33 $5,729.13 $5,817.44 +$165.82
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $174.19 33 $5,748.27
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $184.91 33 $6,102.03 $6,171.20 +$353.76
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $183.47 33 $6,054.51
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $181.77 33 $5,998.41 $6,115.10 $-56.10
(-0.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $180.70 33 $5,963.10
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $171.34 33 $5,654.06 $5,806.06 $-309.04
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $156.80 37 $5,801.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $148.87 37 $5,508.26 $5,512.72 $-293.34
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $139.20 39 $5,428.61
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:50am ET $161.13 39 $6,284.07 $6,368.18 +$855.46
(+15.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
33d held
15 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $178.00 35 $6,230.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $232.90 35 $8,151.50 $8,289.68 +$1,921.50
(+30.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,289.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,710.32
Total Return: -17.10%
Back to Surge