Compendium › Surge › SOLUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOLUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-12-20 to present • 21 trades in period

-19.04%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,550.10
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$12,964.52
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 13:14:18

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
6.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
52,620
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-20 → 2026-06-20
Trading Days
183 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,964.52
Current Value
$10,550.10
Period P&L
$-2,468.75
Max Drawdown
-44.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
6 / 15
Best Trade
+3.38%
Worst Trade
-10.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.93%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$500,031.59
Estimated Fees
$1,250.08
Gross P&L
$-2,468.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,718.83
Gross Return
-19.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-28.68%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 183 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,964.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 11:15am ET $124.01 104 $12,897.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 10:00am ET $121.60 104 $12,646.40 $12,713.88 $-250.64
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 10:40am ET $122.51 103 $12,618.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 10:10am ET $120.79 103 $12,441.37 $12,536.72 $-177.16
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 11:15am ET $125.83 99 $12,457.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 1:00pm ET $124.48 99 $12,323.52 $12,403.07 $-133.65
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET $130.28 95 $12,376.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $134.68 95 $12,794.60 $12,821.07 +$418.00
(+3.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $135.87 94 $12,771.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:20pm ET $134.19 94 $12,613.86 $12,663.15 $-157.92
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:10am ET $134.91 93 $12,546.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $138.37 93 $12,868.41 $12,984.93 +$321.78
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $138.86 93 $12,913.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $137.44 93 $12,781.92 $12,852.87 $-132.06
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET $141.27 90 $12,714.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:50am ET $142.86 90 $12,857.40 $12,995.97 +$143.10
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $144.23 90 $12,980.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:10am ET $147.86 90 $13,307.40 $13,322.67 +$326.70
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:15am ET $148.09 89 $13,180.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $146.51 89 $13,039.39 $13,182.05 $-140.62
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:30pm ET $144.25 91 $13,126.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $128.44 91 $11,688.04 $11,743.34 $-1,438.71
(-11.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET $130.81 89 $11,642.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 11:10am ET $129.37 89 $11,513.93 $11,615.18 $-128.16
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET $127.86 90 $11,507.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET $123.49 90 $11,114.10 $11,221.88 $-393.30
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $124.86 89 $11,112.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:45pm ET $123.61 89 $11,001.29 $11,110.63 $-111.25
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:55am ET $124.84 88 $10,985.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $123.55 88 $10,872.40 $10,997.11 $-113.52
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $118.39 92 $10,891.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:35pm ET $116.75 92 $10,741.00 $10,846.23 $-150.88
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET $105.80 102 $10,791.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:50am ET $104.72 102 $10,681.44 $10,736.07 $-110.16
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:15am ET $85.59 125 $10,698.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $88.00 125 $11,000.00 $11,037.32 +$301.25
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $85.61 128 $10,957.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:20am ET $84.46 128 $10,810.56 $10,890.32 $-147.00
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $83.60 130 $10,867.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 15, 2026 9:35pm ET $85.86 130 $11,161.46 $11,184.17 +$293.85
(+2.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
21 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $88.37 127 $11,184.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 6:40am ET $83.36 127 $10,550.10 $10,550.10 $-688.40
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,550.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$550.10
Total Return: +5.50%
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