SOXL Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 42 trades in period
+191.23%
Last 6 Months Return
$64,763.30
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$22,237.95
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score PRO Scored May 6, 2026
74
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Score ≥ 70 + Momentum ≥ 40
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
22.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
11.5/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
74.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 74.4
30-Day Momentum
60
+87.1%
30d Return
100%
Win Rate
4
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 91.4
Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,856
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps
Data Gap Notice
The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.
2025-11-28 (no data)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$22,237.95
Current Value
$64,763.30
Period P&L
$42,525.35
Max Drawdown
-33.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
19 /
23
Best Trade
+22.00%
Worst Trade
-11.08%
Avg Trade Return
+2.81%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,497,240.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$42,525.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$42,525.35
Gross Return
+191.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+191.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $22,237.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:55am ET | $41.74 | 532 | $22,203.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $45.00 | 532 | $23,940.00 | $23,974.93 |
+$1,736.98 (+7.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 10:45am ET | $45.35 | 528 | $23,942.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:00am ET | $44.85 | 528 | $23,680.80 | $23,713.57 |
$-261.36 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 12:45pm ET | $42.60 | 556 | $23,685.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 10:30am ET | $43.72 | 556 | $24,309.60 | $24,337.57 |
+$624.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:40am ET | $43.58 | 558 | $24,317.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:20pm ET | $43.12 | 558 | $24,060.96 | $24,080.95 |
$-256.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 11:05am ET | $37.01 | 650 | $24,056.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:20pm ET | $36.60 | 650 | $23,789.94 | $23,814.38 |
$-266.57 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:15am ET | $36.22 | 657 | $23,796.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:00am ET | $35.80 | 657 | $23,520.21 | $23,538.05 |
$-276.33 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 10:40am ET | $36.19 | 650 | $23,523.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 1:10pm ET | $35.70 | 650 | $23,205.00 | $23,219.55 |
$-318.50 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:00am ET | $35.46 | 654 | $23,190.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:00am ET | $39.85 | 654 | $26,058.63 | $26,087.34 |
+$2,867.79 (+12.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:05am ET | $39.96 | 652 | $26,053.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:50am ET | $39.43 | 652 | $25,705.10 | $25,738.52 |
$-348.82 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 12:50pm ET | $41.87 | 614 | $25,708.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:00am ET | $44.06 | 614 | $27,054.19 | $27,084.53 |
+$1,346.01 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 12:05pm ET | $44.41 | 609 | $27,045.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:00am ET | $45.93 | 609 | $27,968.33 | $28,007.17 |
+$922.64 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $46.28 | 605 | $27,996.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 10:00am ET | $45.05 | 605 | $27,252.23 | $27,263.02 |
$-744.15 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:50am ET | $47.70 | 571 | $27,236.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 12:20pm ET | $47.59 | 571 | $27,173.89 | $27,200.21 |
$-62.81 (-0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 10, 2025 10:35am ET | $49.99 | 544 | $27,194.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 11:05am ET | $49.14 | 544 | $26,732.16 | $26,737.81 |
$-462.40 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:50am ET | $48.79 | 548 | $26,734.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:35pm ET | $48.02 | 548 | $26,314.96 | $26,318.59 |
$-419.22 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $40.38 | 651 | $26,287.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 10:00am ET | $35.91 | 651 | $23,374.16 | $23,405.36 |
$-2,913.23 (-11.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:00am ET | $36.85 | 635 | $23,399.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $38.89 | 635 | $24,695.15 | $24,700.76 |
+$1,295.40 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 10:20am ET | $39.28 | 628 | $24,664.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:50am ET | $38.87 | 628 | $24,407.22 | $24,443.28 |
$-257.48 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:30pm ET | $42.37 | 576 | $24,406.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 2:35pm ET | $43.45 | 576 | $25,027.20 | $25,064.44 |
+$621.16 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 10:45am ET | $43.84 | 571 | $25,029.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 12:15pm ET | $43.66 | 571 | $24,929.86 | $24,964.51 |
$-99.93 (-0.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $47.90 | 521 | $24,958.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET | $47.25 | 521 | $24,617.25 | $24,623.57 |
$-340.94 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $49.29 | 499 | $24,595.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $53.46 | 499 | $26,676.54 | $26,704.40 |
+$2,080.83 (+8.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:30am ET | $53.86 | 495 | $26,660.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $52.06 | 495 | $25,767.23 | $25,810.92 |
$-893.48 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 11:35am ET | $49.81 | 518 | $25,801.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $54.21 | 518 | $28,080.78 | $28,090.12 |
+$2,279.20 (+8.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $54.44 | 516 | $28,088.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 11:10am ET | $53.87 | 516 | $27,796.92 | $27,798.12 |
$-292.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $54.58 | 509 | $27,778.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET | $59.90 | 509 | $30,488.08 | $30,507.53 |
+$2,709.41 (+9.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:00pm ET | $58.63 | 520 | $30,487.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $64.69 | 520 | $33,638.80 | $33,658.73 |
+$3,151.20 (+10.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $61.45 | 547 | $33,610.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:15am ET | $60.81 | 547 | $33,263.07 | $33,311.39 |
$-347.34 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET | $65.93 | 505 | $33,292.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $65.24 | 505 | $32,943.68 | $32,962.94 |
$-348.45 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $70.99 | 464 | $32,939.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $68.56 | 464 | $31,809.52 | $31,833.10 |
$-1,129.84 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET | $69.24 | 459 | $31,781.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $68.36 | 459 | $31,377.29 | $31,429.23 |
$-403.87 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET | $64.36 | 488 | $31,407.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $66.00 | 488 | $32,205.95 | $32,227.60 |
+$798.37 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:35am ET | $60.90 | 529 | $32,216.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $62.88 | 529 | $33,263.52 | $33,275.02 |
+$1,047.42 (+3.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $63.28 | 525 | $33,222.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 12:05pm ET | $64.90 | 525 | $34,073.13 | $34,126.15 |
+$851.13 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET | $65.72 | 519 | $34,108.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET | $64.65 | 519 | $33,553.35 | $33,570.82 |
$-555.33 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.14 | 643 | $33,526.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.06 | 643 | $31,545.58 | $31,590.32 |
$-1,980.50 (-5.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.38 | 580 | $31,540.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET | $51.07 | 580 | $29,621.76 | $29,671.68 |
$-1,918.64 (-6.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $42.83 | 692 | $29,634.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.97 | 692 | $34,582.70 | $34,619.48 |
+$4,947.80 (+16.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.63 | 633 | $34,580.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $66.65 | 633 | $42,188.56 | $42,227.25 |
+$7,607.77 (+22.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.81 | 564 | $42,192.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.11 | 564 | $48,565.59 | $48,600.00 |
+$6,372.75 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $98.35 | 494 | $48,582.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $113.27 | 494 | $55,955.38 | $55,972.95 |
+$7,372.95 (+15.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2d held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $114.74 | 487 | $55,878.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $132.79 | 487 | $64,668.73 | $64,763.30 |
+$8,790.35 (+15.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$64,763.30
Net Profit/Loss:
+$54,763.30
Total Return:
+547.63%