SQQQ Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 31 trades in period
+28.11%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,484.66
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$8,184.30
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
6.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
12.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 11.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,554
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,184.30
Current Value
$10,484.66
Period P&L
$2,300.36
Max Drawdown
-38.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
14 /
17
Best Trade
+15.09%
Worst Trade
-5.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.87%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$573,839.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,300.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,300.36
Gross Return
+28.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.11%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,184.30 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $70.10 | 116 | $8,131.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:20am ET | $69.23 | 116 | $8,030.10 | $8,082.74 |
$-101.56 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 10:40am ET | $74.70 | 108 | $8,067.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 2:20pm ET | $73.90 | 108 | $7,981.20 | $7,996.88 |
$-85.86 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 10, 2025 11:20am ET | $69.35 | 115 | $7,975.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 12:35pm ET | $68.55 | 115 | $7,883.19 | $7,904.76 |
$-92.12 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET | $71.21 | 111 | $7,904.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 10:00am ET | $74.00 | 111 | $8,213.94 | $8,214.12 |
+$309.36 (+3.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 1:55pm ET | $74.10 | 110 | $8,151.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $78.18 | 110 | $8,599.25 | $8,662.37 |
+$448.25 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:45am ET | $77.78 | 111 | $8,633.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 11:20am ET | $76.85 | 111 | $8,530.35 | $8,559.69 |
$-102.68 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $77.50 | 110 | $8,525.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $76.63 | 110 | $8,428.75 | $8,463.44 |
$-96.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 11:00am ET | $72.15 | 117 | $8,441.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:30am ET | $74.25 | 117 | $8,687.21 | $8,709.10 |
+$245.66 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:20pm ET | $68.17 | 127 | $8,656.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $67.27 | 127 | $8,543.29 | $8,595.43 |
$-113.67 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 10:40am ET | $66.79 | 128 | $8,549.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $66.77 | 128 | $8,546.56 | $8,592.26 |
$-3.17 (-0.0%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $68.78 | 124 | $8,528.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 11:00am ET | $70.77 | 124 | $8,775.48 | $8,839.02 |
+$246.76 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $70.83 | 124 | $8,782.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 10:30am ET | $72.13 | 124 | $8,943.50 | $9,000.12 |
+$161.10 (+1.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:35am ET | $72.61 | 123 | $8,931.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 17, 2025 1:40pm ET | $74.49 | 123 | $9,162.27 | $9,231.36 |
+$231.24 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:30pm ET | $67.86 | 136 | $9,229.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $66.24 | 136 | $9,008.64 | $9,010.39 |
$-220.97 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $67.33 | 133 | $8,954.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:55am ET | $69.14 | 133 | $9,195.55 | $9,251.05 |
+$240.66 (+2.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $65.03 | 142 | $9,234.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $64.36 | 142 | $9,139.12 | $9,155.91 |
$-95.14 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $68.03 | 134 | $9,116.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET | $67.33 | 134 | $9,021.55 | $9,061.44 |
$-94.47 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $65.63 | 138 | $9,056.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $66.35 | 138 | $9,155.61 | $9,160.80 |
+$99.36 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:30pm ET | $66.45 | 137 | $9,102.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET | $69.53 | 137 | $9,525.61 | $9,583.45 |
+$422.65 (+4.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $70.27 | 136 | $9,556.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $69.28 | 136 | $9,422.08 | $9,448.80 |
$-134.65 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $62.55 | 151 | $9,444.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $65.33 | 151 | $9,864.08 | $9,868.58 |
+$419.78 (+4.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $65.42 | 150 | $9,813.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:50am ET | $67.14 | 150 | $10,071.00 | $10,126.58 |
+$258.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $65.62 | 154 | $10,105.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $64.73 | 154 | $9,968.88 | $9,989.98 |
$-136.60 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:10am ET | $67.13 | 148 | $9,935.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET | $68.98 | 148 | $10,209.04 | $10,263.78 |
+$273.80 (+2.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $70.33 | 145 | $10,197.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $69.58 | 145 | $10,089.59 | $10,155.52 |
$-108.26 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $75.32 | 134 | $10,092.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $74.39 | 134 | $9,968.30 | $10,031.34 |
$-124.18 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 3:50pm ET | $69.29 | 144 | $9,978.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 2:10pm ET | $68.57 | 144 | $9,874.07 | $9,926.93 |
$-104.41 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $70.07 | 141 | $9,879.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 11:15am ET | $71.89 | 141 | $10,137.19 | $10,184.25 |
+$257.32 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $77.46 | 131 | $10,147.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $89.15 | 131 | $11,678.64 | $11,715.63 |
+$1,531.38 (+15.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.2d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.43 | 143 | $11,644.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $76.72 | 143 | $10,970.96 | $11,042.10 |
$-673.53 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $54.20 | 203 | $11,002.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $51.45 | 203 | $10,445.16 | $10,484.66 |
$-557.44 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,484.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$484.66
Total Return:
+4.85%