UVXY Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 36 trades in period
-16.79%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,727.07
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$15,294.60
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
20
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
4.7/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality
22.5/100
× Confidence 0.90
= 20.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,104
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,294.60
Current Value
$12,727.07
Period P&L
$-2,567.53
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
9 /
27
Best Trade
+16.96%
Worst Trade
-5.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
13.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,049,547.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,567.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,567.53
Gross Return
-16.79%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.79%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $15,294.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 10:00am ET | $55.00 | 278 | $15,289.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 6, 2025 10:15am ET | $54.25 | 278 | $15,081.50 | $15,086.24 |
$-208.36 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 12:00pm ET | $60.05 | 251 | $15,072.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 12:10pm ET | $59.43 | 251 | $14,915.68 | $14,929.36 |
$-156.88 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 12, 2025 10:50am ET | $50.77 | 294 | $14,927.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $50.18 | 294 | $14,753.66 | $14,755.90 |
$-173.46 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 10:45am ET | $52.58 | 280 | $14,721.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 13, 2025 1:15pm ET | $53.93 | 280 | $15,099.00 | $15,133.90 |
+$378.00 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 12:55pm ET | $56.20 | 269 | $15,117.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 2:30pm ET | $57.80 | 269 | $15,548.20 | $15,564.30 |
+$430.40 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 12:35pm ET | $62.18 | 250 | $15,543.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:40pm ET | $61.23 | 250 | $15,306.25 | $15,326.80 |
$-237.50 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:50am ET | $54.24 | 282 | $15,295.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 11:05am ET | $55.64 | 282 | $15,690.51 | $15,721.60 |
+$394.80 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 10:30am ET | $47.59 | 330 | $15,704.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 10:40am ET | $46.87 | 330 | $15,467.10 | $15,484.00 |
$-237.60 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 5, 2025 11:30am ET | $45.70 | 338 | $15,446.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 11:55am ET | $45.21 | 338 | $15,280.98 | $15,318.38 |
$-165.62 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 11:00am ET | $45.49 | 336 | $15,285.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 11:10am ET | $45.03 | 336 | $15,130.08 | $15,163.32 |
$-155.06 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 10:05am ET | $42.16 | 359 | $15,136.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET | $43.69 | 359 | $15,685.07 | $15,712.37 |
+$549.05 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:00am ET | $42.59 | 368 | $15,673.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:25am ET | $41.99 | 368 | $15,452.32 | $15,491.57 |
$-220.80 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET | $42.42 | 365 | $15,483.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 10:00am ET | $41.38 | 365 | $15,103.70 | $15,112.19 |
$-379.38 (-2.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 10:10am ET | $35.83 | 421 | $15,084.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 11:20am ET | $35.44 | 421 | $14,918.14 | $14,945.90 |
$-166.29 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $35.55 | 420 | $14,928.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET | $35.10 | 420 | $14,743.13 | $14,760.13 |
$-185.77 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:15am ET | $35.25 | 418 | $14,736.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET | $34.90 | 418 | $14,588.20 | $14,611.99 |
$-148.14 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $34.91 | 418 | $14,592.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:50am ET | $34.49 | 418 | $14,416.82 | $14,436.43 |
$-175.56 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 10:45am ET | $38.37 | 376 | $14,427.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $37.98 | 376 | $14,280.48 | $14,289.79 |
$-146.64 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $35.50 | 402 | $14,271.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 11:35am ET | $35.10 | 402 | $14,108.19 | $14,126.98 |
$-162.81 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $40.89 | 345 | $14,107.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $41.92 | 345 | $14,462.40 | $14,482.33 |
+$355.35 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $35.41 | 409 | $14,480.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET | $34.87 | 409 | $14,261.83 | $14,263.51 |
$-218.82 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $35.60 | 400 | $14,238.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $36.63 | 400 | $14,650.00 | $14,675.51 |
+$412.00 (+2.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:55am ET | $36.75 | 399 | $14,663.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 12:50pm ET | $36.35 | 399 | $14,503.65 | $14,515.91 |
$-159.60 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $39.40 | 368 | $14,499.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET | $38.90 | 368 | $14,315.20 | $14,331.54 |
$-184.37 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $37.63 | 380 | $14,299.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:20pm ET | $37.03 | 380 | $14,071.40 | $14,103.54 |
$-228.00 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 10:00am ET | $37.70 | 374 | $14,099.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET | $37.17 | 374 | $13,901.58 | $13,905.32 |
$-198.22 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET | $41.46 | 335 | $13,889.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $40.96 | 335 | $13,721.60 | $13,737.82 |
$-167.50 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $36.18 | 379 | $13,712.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET | $37.37 | 379 | $14,163.23 | $14,188.83 |
+$451.01 (+3.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET | $37.51 | 378 | $14,179.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $37.02 | 378 | $13,993.56 | $14,003.08 |
$-185.75 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $36.47 | 383 | $13,969.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $37.40 | 383 | $14,322.29 | $14,356.24 |
+$353.16 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $50.20 | 285 | $14,307.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $47.26 | 285 | $13,470.52 | $13,519.76 |
$-836.48 (-5.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $49.63 | 272 | $13,499.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $47.08 | 272 | $12,807.12 | $12,827.52 |
$-692.24 (-5.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $47.25 | 271 | $12,805.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.26 | 271 | $14,976.81 | $14,999.23 |
+$2,171.71 (+17.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $52.24 | 287 | $14,992.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $49.49 | 287 | $14,202.20 | $14,208.54 |
$-790.69 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $56.76 | 250 | $14,190.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $53.53 | 250 | $13,381.25 | $13,399.79 |
$-808.75 (-5.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $55.10 | 243 | $13,388.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET | $52.33 | 243 | $12,716.19 | $12,727.07 |
$-672.72 (-5.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,727.07
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,727.07
Total Return:
+27.27%