WMT Surge's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 33 trades in period
+20.54%
Last 6 Months Return
$15,817.66
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$13,122.32
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
48
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
32.0/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
5.4/15
Profit Factor
5.3/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality
64.3/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 48.1
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,037
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,122.32
Current Value
$15,817.66
Period P&L
$2,695.34
Max Drawdown
-6.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
20 /
13
Best Trade
+3.39%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.58%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$946,366.48
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,695.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,695.34
Gross Return
+20.54%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.54%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,122.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 11:10am ET | $102.81 | 127 | $13,056.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 10, 2025 11:30am ET | $101.77 | 127 | $12,924.96 | $12,990.41 |
$-131.91 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 11, 2025 1:05pm ET | $103.39 | 125 | $12,923.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 12, 2025 1:35pm ET | $103.11 | 125 | $12,888.75 | $12,955.41 |
$-35.00 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:35pm ET | $101.71 | 127 | $12,917.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 1:05pm ET | $102.87 | 127 | $13,064.49 | $13,102.73 |
+$147.32 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 10:30am ET | $107.30 | 122 | $13,090.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 12:45pm ET | $106.22 | 122 | $12,958.84 | $12,970.60 |
$-132.13 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 10:05am ET | $106.14 | 122 | $12,949.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $108.69 | 122 | $13,259.57 | $13,281.08 |
+$310.48 (+2.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 10:40am ET | $108.78 | 122 | $13,270.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 11:10am ET | $110.11 | 122 | $13,433.42 | $13,443.95 |
+$162.87 (+1.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 28, 2025 11:30am ET | $110.25 | 121 | $13,339.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 2:55pm ET | $111.52 | 121 | $13,493.32 | $13,597.62 |
+$153.67 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 3:40pm ET | $111.63 | 121 | $13,506.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 10:10am ET | $113.11 | 121 | $13,686.31 | $13,777.31 |
+$179.69 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $113.52 | 121 | $13,735.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 11:05am ET | $113.82 | 121 | $13,772.22 | $13,813.61 |
+$36.30 (+0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 1:40pm ET | $114.65 | 120 | $13,757.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 2:10pm ET | $115.30 | 120 | $13,836.00 | $13,891.62 |
+$78.01 (+0.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $114.40 | 121 | $13,842.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 10, 2025 10:30am ET | $115.43 | 121 | $13,967.03 | $14,016.25 |
+$124.63 (+0.9%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 10:15am ET | $114.31 | 122 | $13,945.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 10:45am ET | $115.95 | 122 | $14,145.29 | $14,216.33 |
+$200.08 (+1.4%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 2:55pm ET | $116.73 | 121 | $14,123.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 3:25pm ET | $116.59 | 121 | $14,106.79 | $14,199.39 |
$-16.94 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 11:20am ET | $116.17 | 122 | $14,172.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 11:50am ET | $115.99 | 122 | $14,150.78 | $14,177.43 |
$-21.96 (-0.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 11:25am ET | $112.51 | 126 | $14,176.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 11:55am ET | $112.18 | 126 | $14,134.68 | $14,135.85 |
$-41.58 (-0.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:00pm ET | $112.36 | 125 | $14,044.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 12:30pm ET | $113.59 | 125 | $14,198.75 | $14,290.23 |
+$154.38 (+1.1%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $113.81 | 125 | $14,226.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET | $112.50 | 125 | $14,062.94 | $14,126.92 |
$-163.31 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 10:15am ET | $112.27 | 125 | $14,033.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:45am ET | $114.80 | 125 | $14,349.38 | $14,442.55 |
+$315.63 (+2.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $115.07 | 125 | $14,383.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET | $118.01 | 125 | $14,751.25 | $14,810.05 |
+$367.50 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET | $118.02 | 125 | $14,752.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 11:25am ET | $119.85 | 125 | $14,980.63 | $15,038.18 |
+$228.13 (+1.6%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $120.07 | 125 | $15,008.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 1:45pm ET | $120.29 | 125 | $15,036.25 | $15,065.68 |
+$27.50 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $120.43 | 125 | $15,053.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET | $119.02 | 125 | $14,877.50 | $14,889.80 |
$-175.88 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $119.28 | 124 | $14,791.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:15pm ET | $118.09 | 124 | $14,642.54 | $14,741.25 |
$-148.55 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:25am ET | $117.26 | 125 | $14,657.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $116.06 | 125 | $14,507.50 | $14,591.25 |
$-150.00 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:05am ET | $117.63 | 124 | $14,585.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $120.69 | 124 | $14,965.56 | $14,971.01 |
+$379.76 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET | $121.25 | 123 | $14,914.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET | $125.37 | 123 | $15,420.51 | $15,477.16 |
+$506.15 (+3.4%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET | $126.62 | 122 | $15,447.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:00am ET | $128.25 | 122 | $15,646.50 | $15,676.02 |
+$198.86 (+1.3%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:20pm ET | $129.32 | 121 | $15,647.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $127.91 | 121 | $15,477.11 | $15,505.41 |
$-170.61 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET | $129.49 | 119 | $15,409.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET | $127.77 | 119 | $15,204.63 | $15,300.14 |
$-205.27 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $129.45 | 118 | $15,275.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET | $129.68 | 118 | $15,302.24 | $15,327.28 |
+$27.14 (+0.2%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 11:50am ET | $128.75 | 119 | $15,321.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 10:10am ET | $131.97 | 119 | $15,704.42 | $15,710.45 |
+$383.17 (+2.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET | $132.74 | 118 | $15,663.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $133.85 | 118 | $15,794.73 | $15,841.85 |
+$131.40 (+0.8%) |
END_OF_DAY
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $133.99 | 118 | $15,810.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $133.78 | 118 | $15,786.04 | $15,817.66 |
$-24.19 (-0.1%) |
📅 Sim Ended
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,817.66
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,817.66
Total Return:
+58.18%