Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:49:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.4/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,089
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,056.81
Current Value
$11,616.77
Period P&L
$559.96
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+2.88%
Worst Trade
-3.78%
Avg Trade Return
+0.38%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$308,276.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$559.96
Net P&L (after fees)
$559.96
Gross Return
+5.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,056.81 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $229.43 48 $11,012.64
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $220.75 48 $10,596.00 $10,640.17 $-416.64
(-3.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:45am ET $229.68 46 $10,565.28
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $235.97 46 $10,854.62 $10,929.51 +$289.34
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:10am ET $216.89 50 $10,844.50
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:55pm ET $214.67 50 $10,733.25 $10,818.26 $-111.25
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:30am ET $213.97 50 $10,698.50
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $214.90 50 $10,745.00 $10,864.76 +$46.50
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $216.08 50 $10,804.00
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $218.09 50 $10,904.50 $10,965.26 +$100.50
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $218.15 50 $10,907.50
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $219.05 50 $10,952.50 $11,010.26 +$45.00
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:20am ET $223.97 49 $10,974.53
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $221.44 49 $10,850.56 $10,886.29 $-123.97
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:55am ET $221.60 49 $10,858.40
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:25am ET $221.20 49 $10,838.80 $10,866.69 $-19.60
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:15pm ET $222.65 48 $10,687.20
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET $229.02 48 $10,992.96 $11,172.45 +$305.76
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:40pm ET $212.81 52 $11,066.12
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 1:45pm ET $218.55 52 $11,364.60 $11,470.93 +$298.48
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $221.83 51 $11,313.33
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $221.67 51 $11,305.17 $11,462.77 $-8.16
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:25am ET $225.50 50 $11,275.00
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $222.79 50 $11,139.50 $11,327.27 $-135.50
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:30am ET $224.79 50 $11,239.50
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $231.26 50 $11,563.25 $11,651.02 +$323.75
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $232.24 50 $11,611.75
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $231.55 50 $11,577.50 $11,616.77 $-34.25
(-0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,616.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,616.77
Total Return: +16.17%
Back to Surge