Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:47

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
7.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 11.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 10.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,651
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,699.66
Current Value
$10,590.58
Period P&L
$2,890.92
Max Drawdown
-36.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+23.81%
Worst Trade
-2.53%
Avg Trade Return
+2.54%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$223,830.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,890.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,890.92
Gross Return
+37.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+37.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,699.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:50am ET $1.58 4,873 $7,699.34
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $1.54 4,873 $7,504.42 $7,504.74 $-194.92
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $1.52 4,953 $7,503.80
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 12:30pm ET $1.57 4,953 $7,768.78 $7,769.73 +$264.99
(+3.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $1.73 4,491 $7,769.43
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:15pm ET $1.78 4,491 $7,971.53 $7,971.83 +$202.10
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:05am ET $1.59 5,013 $7,970.67
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:35am ET $1.63 5,013 $8,186.73 $8,187.89 +$216.06
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:55am ET $1.67 4,912 $8,186.83
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET $1.65 4,912 $8,104.80 $8,105.86 $-82.03
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:15am ET $1.61 5,035 $8,105.85
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.59 5,035 $8,005.65 $8,005.66 $-100.20
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:40am ET $1.68 4,779 $8,004.83
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET $1.65 4,779 $7,884.87 $7,885.71 $-119.95
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:20am ET $1.44 5,476 $7,885.44
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:40am ET $1.43 5,476 $7,803.30 $7,803.57 $-82.14
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:55am ET $1.48 5,272 $7,802.56
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $1.47 5,272 $7,723.48 $7,724.49 $-79.08
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:30am ET $1.44 5,380 $7,724.07
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:10am ET $1.42 5,380 $7,639.60 $7,640.02 $-84.47
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:05pm ET $1.49 5,144 $7,638.84
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $1.47 5,144 $7,562.19 $7,563.37 $-76.65
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:30am ET $1.37 5,540 $7,562.10
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $1.34 5,540 $7,423.60 $7,424.87 $-138.50
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:40am ET $0.9975 7,443 $7,424.39
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $1.24 7,443 $9,192.11 $9,192.58 +$1,767.71
(+23.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $1.32 6,990 $9,191.85
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 11:50am ET $1.51 6,990 $10,589.85 $10,590.58 +$1,398.00
(+15.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,590.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$590.58
Total Return: +5.91%
Back to Surge