Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.4/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
1.0/15
Profit Factor
4.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 44.9/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 43.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,318
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,459.44
Current Value
$22,017.10
Period P&L
$7,557.66
Max Drawdown
-25.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.63

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+17.45%
Worst Trade
-1.13%
Avg Trade Return
+4.10%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$360,090.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7,557.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$7,557.66
Gross Return
+52.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+52.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $14,459.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:15am ET $209.07 69 $14,425.49
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $220.58 69 $15,220.02 $15,253.98 +$794.54
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:10am ET $219.60 69 $15,152.18
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $236.67 69 $16,329.89 $16,431.69 +$1,177.71
(+7.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $237.51 69 $16,388.19
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $234.83 69 $16,202.93 $16,246.42 $-185.27
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $234.93 69 $16,210.17
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $232.36 69 $16,032.84 $16,069.09 $-177.33
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $246.89 65 $16,047.53
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $244.41 65 $15,886.65 $15,908.21 $-160.88
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $254.96 62 $15,807.21
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:25am ET $252.34 62 $15,645.38 $15,746.38 $-161.83
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $248.15 63 $15,633.76
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $245.56 63 $15,470.28 $15,582.89 $-163.49
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $208.23 74 $15,409.02
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $214.40 74 $15,865.97 $16,039.84 +$456.95
(+3.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:40am ET $214.79 74 $15,894.46
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:10am ET $217.63 74 $16,104.92 $16,250.30 +$210.46
(+1.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $197.85 82 $16,223.70
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $232.37 82 $19,054.34 $19,080.94 +$2,830.64
(+17.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $264.93 72 $19,074.96
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $305.71 72 $22,011.12 $22,017.10 +$2,936.16
(+15.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $22,017.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$12,017.10
Total Return: +120.17%
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