Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.8/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
2.9/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 37.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 37.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,353
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,168.90
Current Value
$13,857.78
Period P&L
$1,688.88
Max Drawdown
-10.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
8 / 7
Best Trade
+15.04%
Worst Trade
-5.07%
Avg Trade Return
+0.97%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$380,673.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,688.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,688.88
Gross Return
+13.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,168.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $233.16 52 $12,124.32
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET $238.32 52 $12,392.64 $12,437.22 +$268.32
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET $238.25 52 $12,388.74
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:55am ET $244.27 52 $12,702.10 $12,750.58 +$313.36
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $244.74 52 $12,726.48
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $242.22 52 $12,595.53 $12,619.63 $-130.95
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $245.73 51 $12,532.23
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $242.70 51 $12,377.45 $12,464.84 $-154.79
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $246.59 50 $12,329.25
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $247.77 50 $12,388.25 $12,523.84 +$59.00
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:55am ET $240.19 52 $12,489.88
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $237.47 52 $12,348.44 $12,382.40 $-141.44
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $235.17 52 $12,228.58
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:35pm ET $239.74 52 $12,466.48 $12,620.30 +$237.90
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $239.19 52 $12,437.80
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $239.06 52 $12,431.12 $12,613.62 $-6.68
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $241.50 52 $12,557.74
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:45am ET $243.52 52 $12,662.78 $12,718.66 +$105.04
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $244.32 52 $12,704.64
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $240.11 52 $12,485.72 $12,499.74 $-218.92
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:40am ET $205.77 60 $12,346.40
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:50pm ET $211.39 60 $12,683.40 $12,836.74 +$337.00
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET $209.71 61 $12,792.31
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:30am ET $209.96 61 $12,807.86 $12,852.29 +$15.55
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:30am ET $200.30 64 $12,819.52
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:30pm ET $197.99 64 $12,671.36 $12,704.13 $-148.16
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.99 56 $12,543.44
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:00am ET $257.68 56 $14,430.08 $14,590.77 +$1,886.64
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $273.04 53 $14,471.12
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:00am ET $259.21 53 $13,738.13 $13,857.78 $-732.99
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,857.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,857.78
Total Return: +38.58%
Back to Surge