Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:14

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.7/35
Total Return
14.3/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 32.0/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 29.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,456
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,684.40
Current Value
$15,178.70
Period P&L
$2,494.30
Max Drawdown
-20.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+15.00%
Worst Trade
-1.11%
Avg Trade Return
+2.41%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,070.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,494.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,494.30
Gross Return
+19.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $12,684.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:20am ET $345.93 36 $12,453.55
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:50am ET $349.34 36 $12,576.24 $12,807.09 +$122.69
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:55am ET $348.78 36 $12,556.08
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET $344.91 36 $12,416.76 $12,667.77 $-139.32
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $340.20 37 $12,587.22
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET $349.51 37 $12,931.87 $13,012.43 +$344.66
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $353.42 36 $12,723.12
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:00pm ET $355.87 36 $12,811.32 $13,100.63 +$88.20
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 11:05am ET $332.68 39 $12,974.52
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:10am ET $329.07 39 $12,833.54 $12,959.64 $-140.99
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:25am ET $329.05 39 $12,832.95
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $337.65 39 $13,168.35 $13,295.04 +$335.40
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:15am ET $344.54 38 $13,092.33
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:45am ET $342.51 38 $13,015.19 $13,217.90 $-77.14
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $326.71 40 $13,068.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $375.73 40 $15,029.20 $15,178.70 +$1,960.80
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,178.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,178.70
Total Return: +51.79%
Back to Surge