Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 3.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
6,727
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
86 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,712.44
Current Value
$8,257.23
Period P&L
$544.79
Max Drawdown
-31.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+3.14%
Worst Trade
-2.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$223,378.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$544.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$544.79
Gross Return
+7.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 86 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,712.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $178.23 43 $7,663.89
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $175.63 43 $7,551.88 $7,600.42 $-112.02
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:05am ET $181.49 41 $7,441.09
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:25am ET $186.09 41 $7,629.69 $7,789.02 +$188.60
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:20am ET $186.18 41 $7,633.28
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $184.25 41 $7,554.05 $7,709.79 $-79.23
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $163.97 47 $7,706.36
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:00am ET $169.12 47 $7,948.64 $7,952.08 +$242.29
(+3.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $170.37 46 $7,837.02
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET $174.69 46 $8,035.74 $8,150.80 +$198.72
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET $174.60 46 $8,031.37
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $171.93 46 $7,908.78 $8,028.21 $-122.59
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $173.66 46 $7,988.36
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $174.17 46 $8,011.59 $8,051.44 +$23.23
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:50pm ET $177.17 45 $7,972.65
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:20pm ET $178.00 45 $8,010.00 $8,088.79 +$37.35
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 3:45pm ET $178.62 45 $8,037.90
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:15am ET $181.40 45 $8,162.96 $8,213.85 +$125.06
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:15am ET $182.33 45 $8,204.85
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $187.35 45 $8,430.75 $8,439.75 +$225.90
(+2.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:15am ET $187.51 45 $8,437.95
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $185.53 45 $8,348.85 $8,350.65 $-89.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $199.78 41 $8,190.98
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $195.35 41 $8,009.15 $8,168.82 $-181.83
(-2.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:25am ET $191.57 42 $8,045.73
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 10:55am ET $195.94 42 $8,229.48 $8,352.57 +$183.75
(+2.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:00am ET $195.84 42 $8,225.28
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:25am ET $193.57 42 $8,129.94 $8,257.23 $-95.34
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,257.23
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,742.77
Total Return: -17.43%
Back to Surge