Compendium › Surge › CMCSA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CMCSA
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 14 trades in period

-0.84%
Year to Date Return
$9,546.24
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$9,627.04
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
2.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 7.3/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 7.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,825
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,627.04
Current Value
$9,546.24
Period P&L
$-80.81
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
8 / 6
Best Trade
+2.54%
Worst Trade
-5.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$272,121.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-80.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-80.81
Gross Return
-0.84%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,627.04 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 11:15am ET $30.02 321 $9,636.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $29.62 321 $9,506.42 $9,516.30 $-129.97
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:10am ET $28.37 335 $9,503.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $28.08 335 $9,405.13 $9,417.47 $-98.83
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:25am ET $27.97 336 $9,396.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:55am ET $28.29 336 $9,505.44 $9,526.67 +$109.20
(+1.2%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET $28.39 335 $9,510.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:50am ET $29.11 335 $9,751.85 $9,767.87 +$241.20
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $29.08 335 $9,741.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:20am ET $28.78 335 $9,641.30 $9,667.37 $-100.50
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $28.23 342 $9,654.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:55am ET $28.60 342 $9,779.49 $9,792.20 +$124.83
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.95 338 $9,785.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $29.05 338 $9,817.21 $9,824.31 +$32.11
(+0.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:50am ET $29.23 336 $9,819.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $29.45 336 $9,893.52 $9,898.23 +$73.92
(+0.8%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $29.60 334 $9,884.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $29.30 334 $9,784.53 $9,798.03 $-100.20
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $30.74 318 $9,775.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:40am ET $30.41 318 $9,670.38 $9,693.09 $-104.94
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $31.31 309 $9,674.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:55pm ET $31.47 309 $9,722.69 $9,740.99 +$47.90
(+0.5%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $31.51 309 $9,738.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $32.24 309 $9,960.62 $9,963.47 +$222.48
(+2.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $32.28 308 $9,940.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $32.56 308 $10,030.02 $10,052.79 +$89.32
(+0.9%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $30.45 330 $10,048.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:50am ET $28.92 330 $9,541.95 $9,546.24 $-506.55
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,546.24
Net Profit/Loss: $-453.76
Total Return: -4.54%
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