Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:48:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 3.5/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 3.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,418
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$6,360.22
Current Value
$6,122.45
Period P&L
$-237.77
Max Drawdown
-40.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+2.61%
Worst Trade
-6.97%
Avg Trade Return
-0.27%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$168,413.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-237.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-237.77
Gross Return
-3.74%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $6,360.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $94.12 67 $6,305.71
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $96.57 67 $6,470.19 $6,524.71 +$164.49
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:30am ET $96.87 67 $6,490.29
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $99.37 67 $6,657.79 $6,692.21 +$167.50
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $100.38 66 $6,625.08
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:25am ET $99.20 66 $6,547.20 $6,614.33 $-77.88
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:25am ET $100.07 66 $6,604.62
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $98.97 66 $6,532.02 $6,541.73 $-72.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $98.89 66 $6,526.74
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:40am ET $97.80 66 $6,454.80 $6,469.79 $-71.94
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:45am ET $103.55 62 $6,420.11
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $102.29 62 $6,341.67 $6,391.35 $-78.44
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 11:05am ET $102.74 62 $6,369.57
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:35am ET $104.49 62 $6,478.38 $6,500.16 +$108.81
(+1.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:40am ET $104.64 62 $6,487.68
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET $107.30 62 $6,652.60 $6,665.08 +$164.92
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $107.63 61 $6,565.43
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $105.59 61 $6,440.99 $6,540.64 $-124.44
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:05am ET $107.48 60 $6,448.80
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:35am ET $107.94 60 $6,476.40 $6,568.24 +$27.60
(+0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $108.77 60 $6,526.20
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $107.58 60 $6,455.10 $6,497.14 $-71.10
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:50am ET $109.99 59 $6,489.41
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET $111.28 59 $6,565.52 $6,573.25 +$76.11
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $131.96 49 $6,466.04
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $122.76 49 $6,015.24 $6,122.45 $-450.80
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,122.45
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,877.55
Total Return: -38.78%
Back to Surge