Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 14:28:59

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 9.0/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,492
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,696.23
Current Value
$9,222.99
Period P&L
$-1,473.24
Max Drawdown
-20.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+3.27%
Worst Trade
-6.13%
Avg Trade Return
-1.18%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$257,443.53
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,473.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,473.24
Gross Return
-13.77%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.77%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,696.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $257.47 41 $10,556.27
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:45am ET $259.46 41 $10,637.86 $10,777.82 +$81.59
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:00am ET $259.90 41 $10,655.90
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:55am ET $266.61 41 $10,930.81 $11,052.73 +$274.91
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET $260.01 42 $10,920.42
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $253.84 42 $10,661.28 $10,793.59 $-259.14
(-2.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $223.24 48 $10,715.28
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $227.30 48 $10,910.40 $10,988.71 +$195.12
(+1.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $227.41 48 $10,915.68
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET $228.60 48 $10,972.80 $11,045.83 +$57.12
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:10am ET $195.45 56 $10,945.20
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:45pm ET $200.42 56 $11,223.52 $11,324.15 +$278.32
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:15am ET $192.13 58 $11,143.54
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $198.42 58 $11,508.36 $11,688.97 +$364.82
(+3.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $193.24 60 $11,594.40
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $189.97 60 $11,398.20 $11,492.77 $-196.20
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $184.21 62 $11,420.71
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:45am ET $174.41 62 $10,813.42 $10,885.48 $-607.29
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $183.20 59 $10,808.51
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:35am ET $173.96 59 $10,263.64 $10,340.61 $-544.87
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $185.05 55 $10,177.75
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $173.70 55 $9,553.50 $9,716.36 $-624.25
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $200.10 48 $9,604.73
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $189.82 48 $9,111.36 $9,222.99 $-493.37
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,222.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-777.01
Total Return: -7.77%
Back to Surge