Compendium › Surge › CSCO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
CSCO
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 11 trades in period

+14.53%
Year to Date Return
$10,543.59
Current Value
73%
Win Rate
$9,205.77
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:53

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.0/35
Total Return
6.7/25
Win Rate
2.8/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 15.8/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 11.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,756
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,205.77
Current Value
$10,543.59
Period P&L
$1,337.82
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.90

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
8 / 3
Best Trade
+2.84%
Worst Trade
-1.03%
Avg Trade Return
+1.25%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$211,309.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,337.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,337.82
Gross Return
+14.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,205.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $74.31 123 $9,140.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:25am ET $73.55 123 $9,046.65 $9,112.29 $-93.48
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 3:50pm ET $73.95 123 $9,095.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:20am ET $74.73 123 $9,191.79 $9,208.85 +$96.56
(+1.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:45am ET $74.36 123 $9,145.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $73.59 123 $9,051.57 $9,114.75 $-94.10
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 11:00am ET $74.65 122 $9,106.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $76.62 122 $9,348.18 $9,356.24 +$241.49
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $77.18 121 $9,339.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $78.83 121 $9,538.43 $9,555.44 +$199.20
(+2.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $78.81 121 $9,535.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $78.81 121 $9,535.41 $9,555.43 $-0.01
(+0.0%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:05am ET $79.75 119 $9,490.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:00am ET $82.02 119 $9,760.38 $9,824.96 +$269.53
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $82.77 118 $9,766.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:55am ET $83.89 118 $9,899.61 $9,957.71 +$132.75
(+1.4%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $84.44 117 $9,879.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:25am ET $86.68 117 $10,140.98 $10,219.21 +$261.50
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:30am ET $86.57 118 $10,215.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $87.08 118 $10,276.03 $10,279.39 +$60.18
(+0.6%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:40am ET $74.97 137 $10,270.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 12:00pm ET $76.89 137 $10,534.61 $10,543.59 +$264.20
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,543.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$543.59
Total Return: +5.44%
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