Compendium › Surge › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 17 trades in period

+20.05%
Year to Date Return
$12,362.82
Current Value
41%
Win Rate
$10,249.86
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:11:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.3/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 18.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 18.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,150
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,249.86
Current Value
$12,362.82
Period P&L
$2,055.18
Max Drawdown
-36.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+15.04%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$380,672.27
Estimated Fees
$951.68
Gross P&L
$2,055.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,103.50
Gross Return
+20.05%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.77%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,249.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET $0.1371 74,740 $10,249.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $0.1465 74,740 $10,949.41 $10,949.43 +$699.57
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:10am ET $0.1492 73,377 $10,949.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $0.1541 73,377 $11,305.93 $11,306.04 +$356.61
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:20am ET $0.1407 80,360 $11,305.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $0.1387 80,360 $11,144.32 $11,144.39 $-161.65
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $0.1409 79,111 $11,144.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $0.1393 79,111 $11,019.37 $11,019.39 $-125.00
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:25am ET $0.1379 79,891 $11,019.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:50am ET $0.1417 79,891 $11,321.35 $11,321.38 +$301.99
(+2.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:00am ET $0.1427 79,336 $11,321.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $0.1478 79,336 $11,725.86 $11,725.99 +$404.61
(+3.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:10am ET $0.1502 78,048 $11,725.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $0.1486 78,048 $11,599.49 $11,599.55 $-126.44
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $0.1276 90,919 $11,599.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $0.1241 90,919 $11,285.78 $11,285.88 $-313.67
(-2.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET $0.1249 90,388 $11,285.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $0.1235 90,388 $11,159.30 $11,159.34 $-126.54
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:55am ET $0.1228 90,851 $11,159.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 11:25am ET $0.1250 90,851 $11,352.74 $11,352.75 +$193.41
(+1.7%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:25pm ET $0.1168 97,189 $11,352.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET $0.1156 97,189 $11,237.96 $11,238.07 $-114.68
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:20am ET $0.1091 102,969 $11,238.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:25pm ET $0.1079 102,969 $11,108.30 $11,108.33 $-129.74
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET $0.1095 101,400 $11,108.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET $0.1081 101,400 $10,962.35 $10,962.38 $-145.95
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:05am ET $0.0975 112,434 $10,962.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $0.1000 112,434 $11,240.03 $11,240.09 +$277.71
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:40am ET $0.0954 117,836 $11,240.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $0.0923 117,836 $10,870.94 $10,871.03 $-369.06
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:20pm ET $0.0938 115,910 $10,870.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $0.0927 115,910 $10,746.65 $10,746.72 $-124.31
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 7:05am ET $0.0928 115,805 $10,746.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 5:15am ET $0.1068 115,805 $12,362.82 $12,362.82 +$1,558.32
(+15.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
36.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,362.82
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,362.82
Total Return: +23.63%
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