Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:48:35

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
53.7 neutral
20d Trend
+13.0%
5d Trend
-4.5%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
5.5%
Range Pos
67%
Bounce Ratio
1.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,650
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$8,656.90
Current Value
$8,341.53
Period P&L
$-315.37
Max Drawdown
-34.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
4 / 12
Best Trade
+4.13%
Worst Trade
-1.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.22%
Avg Hold Time
14.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$276,884.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-315.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-315.37
Gross Return
-3.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GME Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $8,656.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:30am ET $20.55 421 $8,651.55
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:00am ET $20.58 421 $8,664.18 $8,669.53 +$12.63
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $20.75 417 $8,650.67
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $20.62 417 $8,596.46 $8,615.32 $-54.21
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $20.81 414 $8,613.27
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $21.67 414 $8,969.31 $8,971.36 +$356.04
(+4.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:40am ET $21.90 409 $8,957.10
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $21.58 409 $8,825.93 $8,840.19 $-131.17
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 11:25am ET $21.43 412 $8,827.10
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $21.16 412 $8,717.92 $8,731.01 $-109.18
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $21.56 405 $8,729.78
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $21.32 405 $8,634.60 $8,635.84 $-95.17
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET $21.26 406 $8,631.56
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $21.04 406 $8,542.24 $8,546.52 $-89.32
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:10am ET $21.23 402 $8,534.42
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:40am ET $21.20 402 $8,522.40 $8,534.50 $-12.02
(-0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $21.07 405 $8,531.33
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $20.85 405 $8,442.23 $8,445.40 $-89.10
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:20am ET $22.72 371 $8,427.27
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:40pm ET $23.34 371 $8,657.95 $8,676.09 +$230.69
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:45am ET $24.17 359 $8,676.06
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $24.83 359 $8,913.61 $8,913.64 +$237.55
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $24.23 367 $8,892.41
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $23.86 367 $8,754.79 $8,776.01 $-137.63
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:45am ET $25.57 343 $8,770.51
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 11:35am ET $25.27 343 $8,667.61 $8,673.11 $-102.90
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $24.74 350 $8,659.00
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:50am ET $24.49 350 $8,571.64 $8,585.75 $-87.36
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET $25.39 338 $8,581.82
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $25.10 338 $8,483.80 $8,487.73 $-98.02
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $24.90 340 $8,466.00
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:00am ET $24.47 340 $8,319.80 $8,341.53 $-146.20
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,341.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,658.47
Total Return: -16.58%
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