Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:05:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.2/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
4.1/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 39.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 38.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,359
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,390.96
Current Value
$15,963.28
Period P&L
$1,572.32
Max Drawdown
-20.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+16.70%
Worst Trade
-2.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.08%
Avg Hold Time
2.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$308,984.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,572.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,572.32
Gross Return
+10.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $14,390.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:30pm ET $323.74 44 $14,244.34
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $325.69 44 $14,330.14 $14,476.76 +$85.80
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET $331.94 43 $14,273.42
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:30am ET $327.98 43 $14,103.14 $14,306.48 $-170.28
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $336.35 42 $14,126.70
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $332.81 42 $13,978.02 $14,157.80 $-148.68
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $325.77 43 $14,008.11
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 3:15pm ET $322.50 43 $13,867.50 $14,017.19 $-140.61
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $326.59 42 $13,716.78
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:55am ET $330.46 42 $13,879.11 $14,179.52 +$162.33
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:20am ET $332.08 42 $13,947.36
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET $336.89 42 $14,149.38 $14,381.54 +$202.02
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:10am ET $343.20 41 $14,071.20
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $343.27 41 $14,073.87 $14,384.21 +$2.67
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 2:00pm ET $327.40 43 $14,078.31
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $322.66 43 $13,874.38 $14,180.28 $-203.93
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $324.75 43 $13,964.25
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $317.99 43 $13,673.38 $13,889.41 $-290.87
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:35am ET $314.04 44 $13,817.76
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 2:10pm ET $310.11 44 $13,644.84 $13,716.49 $-172.92
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $320.42 42 $13,457.85
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $373.92 42 $15,704.64 $15,963.28 +$2,246.79
(+16.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
22d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,963.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,963.28
Total Return: +59.63%
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