Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:59:44

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
54.2 neutral
20d Trend
+3.9%
5d Trend
-3.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.0%
ATR%
7.2%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.7/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 27.8/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,372
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,119.56
Current Value
$14,656.79
Period P&L
$3,537.23
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+21.66%
Worst Trade
-6.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.11%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$348,601.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,537.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,537.23
Gross Return
+31.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+31.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 INTC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,119.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $39.75 279 $11,088.86
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:15am ET $39.34 279 $10,975.86 $11,006.57 $-112.99
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $40.16 274 $11,003.81
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $42.95 274 $11,766.93 $11,769.69 +$763.12
(+6.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:05am ET $43.48 270 $11,739.60
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:20pm ET $43.02 270 $11,614.05 $11,644.14 $-125.55
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $45.06 258 $11,625.48
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:35am ET $44.45 258 $11,466.81 $11,485.47 $-158.67
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $46.94 244 $11,453.36
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET $48.19 244 $11,758.36 $11,790.47 +$305.00
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $49.87 236 $11,769.32
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:50am ET $49.24 236 $11,620.64 $11,641.79 $-148.68
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $53.12 219 $11,632.19
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:35am ET $54.24 219 $11,877.47 $11,887.07 +$245.28
(+2.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:50am ET $49.02 242 $11,861.63
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $48.44 242 $11,722.82 $11,748.26 $-138.81
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:20am ET $48.49 242 $11,735.79
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.71 242 $12,029.82 $12,042.29 +$294.03
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $49.97 240 $11,992.80
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $48.81 240 $11,713.20 $11,762.69 $-279.60
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $47.28 248 $11,725.47
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:10pm ET $46.80 248 $11,605.53 $11,642.76 $-119.93
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $48.00 242 $11,616.00
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $45.08 242 $10,910.57 $10,937.33 $-705.43
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $45.89 238 $10,921.82
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $43.55 238 $10,364.90 $10,380.41 $-556.92
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $45.43 228 $10,358.04
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 9:35am ET $52.78 228 $12,033.84 $12,056.21 +$1,675.80
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $67.46 178 $12,007.88
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $82.07 178 $14,608.46 $14,656.79 +$2,600.58
(+21.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,656.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,656.79
Total Return: +46.57%
Back to Surge