Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
6.6/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 17.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,261
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
87 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,796.64
Current Value
$10,516.77
Period P&L
$-1,279.87
Max Drawdown
-10.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+0.93%
Worst Trade
-5.23%
Avg Trade Return
-1.17%
Avg Hold Time
21.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$221,032.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,279.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,279.87
Gross Return
-10.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 87 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,796.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:05am ET $571.74 20 $11,434.80
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:35am ET $577.07 20 $11,541.40 $11,903.24 +$106.60
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:40am ET $577.72 20 $11,554.40
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:10am ET $580.30 20 $11,605.95 $11,954.79 +$51.55
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:45am ET $589.26 20 $11,785.16
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $583.07 20 $11,661.40 $11,831.03 $-123.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $565.99 20 $11,319.80
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $544.12 20 $10,882.40 $11,393.63 $-437.40
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $547.71 20 $10,954.20
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:10pm ET $541.47 20 $10,829.40 $11,268.83 $-124.80
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $532.37 21 $11,179.77
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $526.64 21 $11,059.34 $11,148.39 $-120.44
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 2:00pm ET $541.54 20 $10,830.80
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:10am ET $535.81 20 $10,716.20 $11,033.79 $-114.60
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $552.60 19 $10,499.40
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $554.27 19 $10,531.13 $11,065.52 +$31.73
(+0.3%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:00pm ET $551.39 20 $11,027.70
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 12:30pm ET $551.57 20 $11,031.40 $11,069.22 +$3.70
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $528.50 20 $10,570.00
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:05pm ET $500.88 20 $10,017.55 $10,516.77 $-552.45
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,516.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$516.77
Total Return: +5.17%
Back to Surge