Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:30:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
1.9/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 38.5/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 35.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,353
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,465.79
Current Value
$14,387.12
Period P&L
$921.33
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.14

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+15.03%
Worst Trade
-5.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.65%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$337,540.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$921.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$921.33
Gross Return
+6.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,465.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:15am ET $664.14 20 $13,282.70
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:00am ET $656.42 20 $13,128.33 $13,311.42 $-154.37
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $664.17 20 $13,283.40
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $648.63 20 $12,972.50 $13,000.52 $-310.90
(-2.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:05am ET $653.25 19 $12,411.75
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:40am ET $645.81 19 $12,270.39 $12,859.16 $-141.36
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:45am ET $622.42 20 $12,448.40
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 12:15pm ET $623.96 20 $12,479.20 $12,889.96 +$30.80
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:30am ET $609.99 21 $12,809.79
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $633.18 21 $13,296.78 $13,376.95 +$486.99
(+3.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:40am ET $639.51 20 $12,790.20
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $658.20 20 $13,164.00 $13,750.75 +$373.80
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:05am ET $659.89 20 $13,197.80
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:35am ET $669.41 20 $13,388.10 $13,941.05 +$190.30
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 11:00am ET $672.70 20 $13,453.90
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:30am ET $669.74 20 $13,394.70 $13,881.85 $-59.20
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:25am ET $675.09 20 $13,501.80
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $650.39 20 $13,007.80 $13,387.85 $-494.00
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $673.59 19 $12,798.21
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $674.21 19 $12,809.99 $13,399.63 +$11.78
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $648.77 20 $12,975.40
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $641.26 20 $12,825.10 $13,249.33 $-150.30
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $630.18 21 $13,233.78
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:50am ET $597.58 21 $12,549.11 $12,564.66 $-684.67
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $551.01 22 $12,122.24
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:55am ET $633.85 22 $13,944.70 $14,387.12 +$1,822.46
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,387.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,387.12
Total Return: +43.87%
Back to Surge