Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:18:20

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 9.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 7.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,537
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,388.27
Current Value
$9,103.02
Period P&L
$-285.26
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+1.11%
Worst Trade
-5.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.26%
Avg Hold Time
1.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,422.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-285.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-285.26
Gross Return
-3.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,388.27 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:50am ET $140.47 66 $9,271.02
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 11:20am ET $141.46 66 $9,336.36 $9,453.61 +$65.34
(+0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 11:45am ET $146.77 64 $9,393.28
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:15pm ET $145.89 64 $9,336.96 $9,397.29 $-56.32
(-0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $150.20 62 $9,312.56
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 11:10am ET $150.20 62 $9,312.40 $9,397.14 $-0.15
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:35am ET $148.88 63 $9,379.13
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 11:05am ET $150.02 63 $9,451.26 $9,469.28 +$72.14
(+0.8%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 2:00pm ET $151.27 62 $9,378.74
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $152.80 62 $9,473.60 $9,564.14 +$94.86
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 3:25pm ET $153.61 62 $9,523.82
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $155.32 62 $9,629.84 $9,670.16 +$106.02
(+1.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:45am ET $158.29 61 $9,655.69
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $156.65 61 $9,555.65 $9,570.12 $-100.04
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:05am ET $159.59 59 $9,415.81
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:35am ET $158.93 59 $9,376.87 $9,531.18 $-38.94
(-0.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET $159.25 59 $9,395.75
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $160.06 59 $9,443.54 $9,578.97 +$47.79
(+0.5%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:35am ET $161.85 59 $9,548.86
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 11:05am ET $161.92 59 $9,553.28 $9,583.39 +$4.42
(+0.1%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $152.05 63 $9,579.15
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $144.43 63 $9,098.78 $9,103.02 $-480.38
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,103.02
Net Profit/Loss: $-896.98
Total Return: -8.97%
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