Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:51:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 91%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.3/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 38.0/100
× Confidence 0.91 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (91%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,439
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$18,405.31
Current Value
$15,918.22
Period P&L
$-2,487.09
Max Drawdown
-14.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.58

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+2.53%
Worst Trade
-5.19%
Avg Trade Return
-1.19%
Avg Hold Time
23.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$422,697.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,487.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,487.09
Gross Return
-13.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $18,405.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 10:25am ET $179.06 102 $18,264.13
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 10:50am ET $177.17 102 $18,071.34 $18,212.52 $-192.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:15am ET $182.69 99 $18,086.31
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET $180.49 99 $17,868.51 $17,994.72 $-217.80
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET $178.30 100 $17,830.00
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:55am ET $179.92 100 $17,991.50 $18,156.22 +$161.50
(+0.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 11:35am ET $179.77 100 $17,977.00
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 1:40pm ET $177.95 100 $17,794.50 $17,973.72 $-182.50
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:25am ET $170.43 105 $17,894.63
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $168.44 105 $17,685.68 $17,764.77 $-208.95
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:35am ET $169.37 104 $17,614.38
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 11:05am ET $169.64 104 $17,642.48 $17,792.87 +$28.10
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $168.99 105 $17,743.95
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET $167.20 105 $17,555.48 $17,604.39 $-188.48
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET $136.46 129 $17,602.70
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $135.04 129 $17,420.16 $17,421.85 $-182.54
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $141.47 123 $17,400.34
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $145.05 123 $17,841.15 $17,862.66 +$440.81
(+2.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:30am ET $132.13 135 $17,837.55
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:35am ET $130.72 135 $17,647.20 $17,672.31 $-190.35
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $154.76 114 $17,643.21
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:05am ET $146.73 114 $16,727.22 $16,756.32 $-915.99
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.95 116 $16,698.20
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 11:50am ET $136.73 116 $15,860.10 $15,918.22 $-838.10
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,918.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,918.22
Total Return: +59.18%
Back to Surge