Compendium › Surge › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 9 trades in period

-1.57%
Year to Date Return
$11,194.29
Current Value
33%
Win Rate
$11,373.15
Period Start
Login to Apply

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.2/25
Win Rate
2.2/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 18.6/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 13.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,924
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,373.15
Current Value
$11,194.29
Period P&L
$-178.86
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+3.18%
Worst Trade
-2.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
15.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$198,992.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-178.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-178.86
Gross Return
-1.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $11,373.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $59.44 191 $11,353.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $59.39 191 $11,343.49 $11,363.60 $-9.55
(-0.1%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 3:15pm ET $59.61 190 $11,324.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $58.79 190 $11,169.15 $11,207.80 $-155.80
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $58.64 191 $11,200.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $57.38 191 $10,958.63 $10,966.18 $-241.62
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:25am ET $57.66 190 $10,955.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $57.07 190 $10,842.35 $10,853.13 $-113.05
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:40pm ET $56.25 192 $10,800.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:10pm ET $56.98 192 $10,940.16 $10,993.29 +$140.16
(+1.3%) 		END_OF_DAY
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:50am ET $41.72 263 $10,972.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 11:15am ET $41.08 263 $10,804.80 $10,825.81 $-167.48
(-1.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $40.74 265 $10,797.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:00am ET $42.04 265 $11,140.60 $11,168.99 +$343.18
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 11:00am ET $42.29 264 $11,165.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:55am ET $41.84 264 $11,045.76 $11,048.87 $-120.12
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:50am ET $39.77 277 $11,016.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $40.29 277 $11,161.71 $11,194.29 +$145.42
(+1.3%) 		📅 Sim Ended
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,194.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,194.29
Total Return: +11.94%
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