Compendium › Surge › RBLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RBLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 13 trades in period

-16.67%
Year to Date Return
$9,080.89
Current Value
15%
Win Rate
$10,897.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:16:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,248
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,897.98
Current Value
$9,080.89
Period P&L
$-1,817.09
Max Drawdown
-27.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.60

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
2 / 11
Best Trade
+2.77%
Worst Trade
-5.40%
Avg Trade Return
-1.37%
Avg Hold Time
19.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$273,233.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,817.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,817.09
Gross Return
-16.67%
Net Return (after fees)
-16.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,897.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:45am ET $82.18 132 $10,847.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:40pm ET $81.30 132 $10,730.94 $10,781.16 $-116.82
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:00am ET $77.09 139 $10,714.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $76.27 139 $10,601.53 $10,667.87 $-113.29
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET $81.36 131 $10,658.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 11:45am ET $83.62 131 $10,953.57 $10,963.27 +$295.40
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 10:15am ET $85.23 128 $10,909.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $87.57 128 $11,208.96 $11,262.93 +$299.66
(+2.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:20am ET $89.89 125 $11,235.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:00am ET $88.66 125 $11,081.88 $11,109.18 $-153.75
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $73.63 150 $11,043.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 10:00am ET $72.36 150 $10,854.00 $10,919.43 $-189.75
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $75.97 143 $10,863.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:30am ET $75.09 143 $10,737.16 $10,793.59 $-125.84
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $75.73 142 $10,753.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:00am ET $73.25 142 $10,401.95 $10,441.88 $-351.71
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $64.73 161 $10,421.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:40pm ET $64.01 161 $10,305.61 $10,325.96 $-115.92
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 11:30am ET $68.02 151 $10,271.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 1:50pm ET $67.26 151 $10,156.26 $10,211.20 $-114.76
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $73.29 139 $10,187.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:05am ET $72.50 139 $10,077.50 $10,101.40 $-109.80
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $59.65 169 $10,081.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 1:50pm ET $56.67 169 $9,576.39 $9,596.09 $-505.31
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $59.61 160 $9,537.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $56.39 160 $9,022.40 $9,080.89 $-515.20
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,080.89
Net Profit/Loss: $-919.11
Total Return: -9.19%
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