Compendium › Surge › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 19 trades in period

+35.03%
Year to Date Return
$21,488.55
Current Value
42%
Win Rate
$15,913.77
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
15.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 34.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 33.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,870
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,913.77
Current Value
$21,488.55
Period P&L
$5,574.78
Max Drawdown
-28.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
8 / 11
Best Trade
+21.47%
Worst Trade
-5.78%
Avg Trade Return
+1.78%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$617,252.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,574.78
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,574.78
Gross Return
+35.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $15,913.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:25am ET $13.68 1,163 $15,909.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 11:20am ET $14.04 1,163 $16,322.71 $16,326.64 +$412.87
(+2.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $14.93 1,093 $16,318.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $14.78 1,093 $16,154.54 $16,162.69 $-163.95
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:50am ET $15.26 1,059 $16,155.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 11:10am ET $15.07 1,059 $15,959.13 $15,966.77 $-195.92
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:25am ET $15.88 1,005 $15,954.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:45am ET $15.65 1,005 $15,723.23 $15,735.62 $-231.15
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:30am ET $15.65 1,005 $15,723.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $15.48 1,005 $15,557.40 $15,569.80 $-165.82
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:55am ET $17.52 888 $15,555.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 11:00am ET $17.22 888 $15,291.36 $15,305.44 $-264.36
(-1.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:05am ET $18.78 814 $15,286.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:10am ET $18.59 814 $15,128.19 $15,146.79 $-158.65
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:40am ET $18.59 814 $15,132.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 2:20pm ET $18.38 814 $14,957.25 $14,971.78 $-175.01
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET $17.32 864 $14,960.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:10pm ET $17.88 864 $15,448.32 $15,459.94 +$488.16
(+3.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:05am ET $16.63 929 $15,444.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 11:15am ET $17.16 929 $15,937.00 $15,952.31 +$492.37
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $15.65 1,019 $15,947.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $15.48 1,019 $15,779.21 $15,784.18 $-168.13
(-1.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:25am ET $15.93 990 $15,770.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:35am ET $15.74 990 $15,582.60 $15,596.08 $-188.10
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:15am ET $13.83 1,127 $15,586.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:40pm ET $14.23 1,127 $16,031.58 $16,041.25 +$445.17
(+2.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET $14.48 1,107 $16,034.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 11:55am ET $14.85 1,107 $16,438.84 $16,445.19 +$403.94
(+2.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 10:05am ET $14.94 1,101 $16,443.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 10:25am ET $15.46 1,101 $17,016.07 $17,017.82 +$572.63
(+3.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $14.68 1,159 $17,014.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $13.94 1,159 $16,162.25 $16,165.95 $-851.87
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $15.49 1,043 $16,156.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.99 1,043 $18,763.57 $18,773.45 +$2,607.50
(+16.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.53 1,070 $18,757.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:55am ET $16.52 1,070 $17,673.72 $17,690.07 $-1,083.38
(-5.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
19 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $18.58 952 $17,688.16 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $22.57 952 $21,486.64 $21,488.55 +$3,798.48
(+21.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,488.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,488.55
Total Return: +114.89%
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