Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:18:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 6.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,047
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,224.92
Current Value
$9,339.60
Period P&L
$114.68
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+3.39%
Worst Trade
-1.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$187,537.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$114.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$114.68
Gross Return
+1.24%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.24%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $9,224.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $100.46 91 $9,141.41
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 10:00am ET $103.87 91 $9,451.72 $9,535.23 +$310.31
(+3.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:40am ET $104.35 91 $9,495.85
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET $104.40 91 $9,499.95 $9,539.33 +$4.10
(+0.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 2:30pm ET $101.47 94 $9,538.18
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:05pm ET $100.46 94 $9,442.77 $9,443.92 $-95.41
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $101.52 93 $9,441.36
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $102.78 93 $9,558.54 $9,561.10 +$117.18
(+1.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 11:05am ET $104.20 91 $9,482.20
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $103.00 91 $9,373.00 $9,451.90 $-109.20
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:40am ET $105.03 89 $9,347.67
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $103.92 89 $9,248.88 $9,353.11 $-98.79
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $103.62 90 $9,325.80
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $103.38 90 $9,304.20 $9,331.51 $-21.60
(-0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:50pm ET $104.55 89 $9,304.95
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET $103.49 89 $9,210.61 $9,237.17 $-94.34
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $104.67 88 $9,211.05
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $107.00 88 $9,416.44 $9,442.56 +$205.39
(+2.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $107.08 88 $9,423.04
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:05am ET $105.91 88 $9,320.08 $9,339.60 $-102.96
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,339.60
Net Profit/Loss: $-660.40
Total Return: -6.60%
Back to Surge