Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:17:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 4.2/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 3.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,085
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,767.97
Current Value
$7,724.34
Period P&L
$-43.63
Max Drawdown
-39.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+2.70%
Worst Trade
-2.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$189,251.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-43.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-43.63
Gross Return
-0.56%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,767.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $38.56 201 $7,750.54
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $39.57 201 $7,952.57 $7,970.00 +$202.03
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET $44.31 179 $7,930.60
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $43.78 179 $7,835.73 $7,875.13 $-94.87
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:05am ET $43.48 181 $7,869.88
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:35am ET $44.66 181 $8,082.56 $8,087.81 +$212.68
(+2.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:50am ET $45.08 179 $8,068.43
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:20am ET $44.55 179 $7,973.56 $7,992.94 $-94.87
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 11:30am ET $47.34 168 $7,952.28
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $46.77 168 $7,857.36 $7,898.02 $-94.92
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $46.97 168 $7,890.96
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:00am ET $46.42 168 $7,798.56 $7,805.62 $-92.40
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $48.50 160 $7,759.20
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $49.17 160 $7,866.40 $7,912.82 +$107.20
(+1.4%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET $48.22 164 $7,908.69
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:45am ET $49.01 164 $8,036.82 $8,040.95 +$128.13
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:50am ET $49.18 163 $8,016.34
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:30am ET $48.66 163 $7,931.58 $7,956.19 $-84.76
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 11:35am ET $50.92 156 $7,942.74
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $49.83 156 $7,774.26 $7,787.71 $-168.48
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:00am ET $50.52 154 $7,780.08
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $50.65 154 $7,799.33 $7,806.96 +$19.25
(+0.2%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:15am ET $50.83 153 $7,777.75
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.29 153 $7,695.13 $7,724.34 $-82.62
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,724.34
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,275.66
Total Return: -22.76%
Back to Surge