Compendium › Surge › SLV
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SLV
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 17 trades in period

+1.18%
Year to Date Return
$11,105.23
Current Value
35%
Win Rate
$10,976.01
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:23:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 87%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.8/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 19.0/100
× Confidence 0.87 = 16.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (87%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,485
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,976.01
Current Value
$11,105.23
Period P&L
$129.22
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
6 / 11
Best Trade
+11.07%
Worst Trade
-6.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$392,181.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$129.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$129.22
Gross Return
+1.18%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.18%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $10,976.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 11:45am ET $70.19 156 $10,949.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $69.27 156 $10,806.12 $10,832.47 $-143.54
(-1.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 11:30am ET $73.26 147 $10,768.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 10:00am ET $70.08 147 $10,301.75 $10,365.73 $-466.74
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 11:30am ET $70.99 146 $10,364.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:00am ET $67.67 146 $9,879.82 $9,881.01 $-484.72
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:15am ET $68.31 144 $9,836.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $71.78 144 $10,335.60 $10,379.97 +$498.96
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:20am ET $72.31 143 $10,340.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 10:00am ET $77.02 143 $11,014.10 $11,053.74 +$673.77
(+6.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 11:10am ET $77.67 142 $11,028.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $80.17 142 $11,384.14 $11,409.45 +$355.71
(+3.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $83.67 136 $11,379.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:00am ET $81.92 136 $11,141.12 $11,171.45 $-238.00
(-2.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 11:10am ET $82.77 134 $11,091.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 10:00am ET $81.16 134 $10,875.60 $10,956.00 $-215.45
(-1.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET $86.00 127 $10,922.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:00am ET $90.12 127 $11,445.82 $11,479.72 +$523.72
(+4.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET $90.78 126 $11,437.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET $100.82 126 $12,703.32 $12,745.39 +$1,265.67
(+11.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET $101.54 125 $12,691.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:40am ET $100.51 125 $12,563.75 $12,617.27 $-128.12
(-1.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $100.27 125 $12,534.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $104.59 125 $13,073.76 $13,156.85 +$539.58
(+4.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $105.52 124 $13,084.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:15am ET $102.82 124 $12,749.68 $12,822.04 $-334.81
(-2.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:30am ET $69.57 184 $12,800.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 10:55am ET $68.62 184 $12,626.08 $12,647.24 $-174.80
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 10:30am ET $74.56 169 $12,600.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 10:35am ET $73.48 169 $12,418.12 $12,464.72 $-182.52
(-1.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 154 $12,423.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 12:10pm ET $76.58 154 $11,793.32 $11,834.85 $-629.87
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $66.14 178 $11,772.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $62.04 178 $11,043.30 $11,105.23 $-729.62
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,105.23
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,105.23
Total Return: +11.05%
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