Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:49:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.3 neutral
20d Trend
-11.8%
5d Trend
-10.2%
EMA20 Dist
-9.3%
ATR%
3.6%
Range Pos
7%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 92%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.5/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 23.0/100
× Confidence 0.92 = 21.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (92%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,484
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,491.07
Current Value
$12,686.79
Period P&L
$-804.28
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+2.61%
Worst Trade
-5.10%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$371,421.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-804.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-804.28
Gross Return
-5.96%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TSLA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $13,491.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:30am ET $456.26 29 $13,231.61
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $451.69 29 $13,099.01 $13,358.47 $-132.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 10:10am ET $433.27 30 $12,998.10
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:40am ET $441.48 30 $13,244.40 $13,604.77 +$246.30
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 10:45am ET $441.25 30 $13,237.50
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:15am ET $448.39 30 $13,451.55 $13,818.82 +$214.05
(+1.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $452.30 30 $13,569.07
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:20am ET $447.18 30 $13,415.40 $13,665.15 $-153.67
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:15am ET $425.79 32 $13,625.12
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:05pm ET $421.40 32 $13,484.80 $13,524.83 $-140.32
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:50am ET $437.61 30 $13,128.30
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $449.01 30 $13,470.30 $13,866.83 +$342.00
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 10:55am ET $452.03 30 $13,560.90
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $447.42 30 $13,422.45 $13,728.38 $-138.45
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:20am ET $432.39 31 $13,404.09
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:00am ET $419.60 31 $13,007.60 $13,331.89 $-396.49
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $423.33 31 $13,123.12
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:40pm ET $418.36 31 $12,969.16 $13,177.93 $-153.96
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:25am ET $410.10 32 $13,123.33
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $417.93 32 $13,373.76 $13,428.36 +$250.43
(+1.9%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:00am ET $417.87 32 $13,371.82
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 11:30am ET $421.89 32 $13,500.34 $13,556.88 +$128.52
(+1.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $426.88 31 $13,233.13
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:15am ET $422.56 31 $13,099.36 $13,423.11 $-133.77
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:35am ET $419.01 32 $13,408.32
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $416.88 32 $13,340.16 $13,354.95 $-68.16
(-0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $363.84 36 $13,098.24
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $345.28 36 $12,430.08 $12,686.79 $-668.16
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,686.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,686.79
Total Return: +26.87%
Back to Surge