Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:15:55

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 15.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,799
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$7,270.54
Current Value
$10,814.25
Period P&L
$3,543.71
Max Drawdown
-35.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.35

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+19.01%
Worst Trade
-6.05%
Avg Trade Return
+2.34%
Avg Hold Time
2.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$302,467.90
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,543.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,543.71
Gross Return
+48.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+48.74%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge had $7,270.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $68.76 105 $7,220.21
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 12:55pm ET $70.16 105 $7,366.80 $7,417.13 +$146.59
(+2.0%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:30pm ET $70.29 105 $7,379.93
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $69.58 105 $7,305.90 $7,343.11 $-74.02
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $69.17 106 $7,332.02
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:00am ET $71.20 106 $7,547.20 $7,558.29 +$215.18
(+2.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 11:30am ET $71.69 105 $7,527.45
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $70.94 105 $7,448.70 $7,479.54 $-78.75
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET $71.20 105 $7,475.48
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $73.46 105 $7,713.30 $7,717.37 +$237.83
(+3.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:15pm ET $74.61 103 $7,684.83
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $73.22 103 $7,541.66 $7,574.20 $-143.17
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 1:30pm ET $73.40 103 $7,560.20
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET $72.16 103 $7,432.01 $7,446.01 $-128.19
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:50am ET $74.47 99 $7,372.53
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 10:00am ET $76.44 99 $7,567.56 $7,641.04 +$195.03
(+2.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $76.73 99 $7,596.14
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:00am ET $79.72 99 $7,892.28 $7,937.18 +$296.14
(+3.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $76.77 103 $7,907.31
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $75.90 103 $7,817.70 $7,847.57 $-89.61
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $78.27 100 $7,827.00
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $76.81 100 $7,681.00 $7,701.57 $-146.00
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:20am ET $77.40 99 $7,662.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $77.85 99 $7,707.15 $7,746.12 +$44.55
(+0.6%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 11:35am ET $78.19 99 $7,741.30
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $77.65 99 $7,687.35 $7,692.17 $-53.95
(-0.7%)
END_OF_DAY
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $76.51 100 $7,651.00
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $76.11 100 $7,611.00 $7,652.17 $-40.00
(-0.5%)
📅 Sim Ended
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $94.44 81 $7,649.64
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:30pm ET $108.66 81 $8,801.46 $8,803.99 +$1,151.82
(+15.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $115.07 76 $8,745.17
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 11:05am ET $108.11 76 $8,216.35 $8,275.17 $-528.82
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $116.71 70 $8,169.70
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 70 $9,723.00 $9,828.47 +$1,553.30
(+19.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 73 $9,728.07
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $126.26 73 $9,216.98 $9,317.38 $-511.09
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $119.89 77 $9,231.53
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $139.33 77 $10,728.40 $10,814.25 +$1,496.87
(+16.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,814.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$814.25
Total Return: +8.14%
Back to Surge