Compendium › Surge PRO › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Surge PRO's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-06 to present • 3 trades in period

+14.31%
Last Month Return
$21,593.79
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$18,890.23
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:50:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

57
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.3/35
Total Return
17.2/25
Win Rate
1.2/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 59.5/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 57.2

30-Day Momentum

50
+22.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 81.1 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$18,890.23
Current Value
$21,593.79
Period P&L
$2,703.56
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.87

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
2 / 1
Best Trade
+13.81%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
+7.24%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$123,675.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,703.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,703.56
Gross Return
+14.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $18,890.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $164.45 107 $17,596.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 107 $19,788.58 $19,879.44 +$2,192.43
(+12.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $180.26 110 $19,828.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $205.16 110 $22,567.60 $22,618.44 +$2,739.00
(+13.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $204.18 110 $22,459.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $194.87 110 $21,435.15 $21,593.79 $-1,024.65
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,593.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,593.79
Total Return: +115.94%
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