Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:31:34

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.4/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 31.8/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 30.4

30-Day Momentum

9
+2.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.5 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,641.12
Current Value
$15,028.96
Period P&L
$387.84
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+12.20%
Worst Trade
-4.56%
Avg Trade Return
+1.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$88,647.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$387.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$387.84
Gross Return
+2.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Surge PRO had $14,641.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 190 $14,623.35
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $73.46 190 $13,956.45 $13,974.22 $-666.90
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 185 $13,919.40
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:45am ET $84.42 185 $15,617.70 $15,672.52 +$1,698.30
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 173 $15,587.30
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.38 173 $14,943.74 $15,028.96 $-643.56
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,028.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,028.96
Total Return: +50.29%
Back to Surge PRO